Real Cartagena vs Millonarios – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Copa Real Cartagena - Millonarios
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Colombia - First stage - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Murillo M. (Pen),
  • 63', Giordana S. 🟥,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Pedrosa G. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Banguero D. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y77ra7y2

Chances of winning


Real Cartagena
36.7%
Draw
31%
Millonarios
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 28% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 26.5% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Cartagena's performance.
  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millonarios might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Cartagena that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millonarios could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Cartagena - Millonarios Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (3.48)
    2.98
    (3.3)
    2.85
    (2.03)
    7.8%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Real Cartagena - Millonarios?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Real Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Millonarios will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
    • Real Cartagena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Millonarios is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Real Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Cartagena - Millonarios were as follows:
    31.07.2025 Millonarios - Real Cartagena 3:1
    Latest results of Real Cartagena
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Draw
    Second stage

    1/8-finals
    1Ind. MedellinFortaleza0 : 0
    2Santa FeAlianza1 : 1
    3Real CundinamarcaPereira3 : 4
    4MillonariosEnvigado
    5America De CaliBucaramanga0 : 1
    6Atletico F.C.Junior0 : 2
    7Atl. NacionalQuindio4 : 0
    8Once CaldasDep. Pasto2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2