Milsami Orhei vs KuPS Kuopio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Milsami Orhei - KuPS Kuopio
Result
0:0
15/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Kapraly M. (Hun)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandKuPS TV
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
175
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
60
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
2016
Throw-ins
2934
Fouls
1419
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Cisse I. 🟨,
  • 40', Miettinen S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Pennanen P. , Hamalainen N. ,
  • 62', Sadiku A. , Toure M. ,
  • 62', Olatunde-Matthew O. , Jardan V. ,
  • 75', Takyi F. , Keita S. ,
  • 77', Luyeye-Lutumba J. , Voutilainen J. ,
  • 79', Kreidl J. 🟨,
  • 86', Kalabatama K. 🟨,
  • 90', Antwi C. , Armah B. ,

Chances of winning


Milsami Orhei
31.5%
Draw
27.9%
KuPS Kuopio
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.6% 25.1% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 24.4% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milsami Orhei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milsami Orhei's performance.
  • KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milsami Orhei than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milsami Orhei that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Milsami Orhei - KuPS Kuopio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (3.93)
    3.34
    (3.69)
    2.31
    (1.81)
    7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Milsami Orhei - KuPS Kuopio?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Milsami will win (votes: 4 - 25%). KuPS will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Milsami (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Milsami has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • KuPS is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Milsami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Milsami won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milsami Orhei - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
    08.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Milsami Orhei 1:0
    Latest results of Milsami Orhei
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    04.07.2025 Oulu - KuPS Kuopio 2:2
    01.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan 6:2
    27.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 3:0
    24.06.2025 Haka - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos2 : 0
    16PlzenServette0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Club Brugge KV
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce