Carlisle United vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Brunton Park (Carlisle).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.67
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
5	2
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
7	2
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
3	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
Free Kicks
9	12
Offsides
0	3
Fouls
12	9
Yellow Cards
1	1
Throw-ins
17	21
Touches in opposition box
23	26
Passes
75% (300/402)	85% (507/593)
Passes in the final third
62% (81/130)	71% (90/126)
Crosses
28% (8/29)	13% (2/15)
Tackles
73% (11/15)	83% (10/12)
Clearances Total
25	30
Interceptions
6	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', Vela J. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Tomlinson J. ⚽, Nemane A. (A),
8', Nemane A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Gilbey A. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 2, Harris K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', White J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
74', Nemane A. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
77', Vela J. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
87', Wearne S. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
87', Whelan C. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
87', Jones J. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
88', Crowley D. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Carlisle United
39.1%

Draw
27.5%

Milton Keynes Dons
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25.4%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlisle United's performance.

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milton Keynes Dons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlisle United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (3.1)	3.42 ↓ (3.47)	2.8 ↑ (2.19)	6.4% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Postponed due to unsuitable ground.
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2.
The competitors look crappy now.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Carlisle United?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

24.08.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Carlisle United 3:0

Latest results of Carlisle United

22.03.2025 Carlisle United - Bromley 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Carlisle United 1:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Carlisle United - Walsall 1:1 ✺

27.02.2025 Barrow - Carlisle United 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League