Result
5:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 3
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (227/328) | 66% (189/285) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (227/328) | 66% (189/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/72) | 25% (17/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (53/105) | 56% (50/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 42 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 3.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 5', Mazionis J. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Sanders J. ⚽, Offord L. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. ⚽, Mendez-Laing N. (A),
- 25', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽,
- 36', Mazionis J. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
- 42', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Miller G. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 56', Young L. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 60', 4 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
- 67', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 67', Paterson C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 68', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 71', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
- 74', Collar W. 🟨,
- 76', Jones G. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
- 76', Collar W. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 80', 5 - 0, Nemane A. ⚽,
- 83', Archer E. 🟨,
- 89', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
- 89', Broom R. ↓, Tustin H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
64.1% | Draw
22.2% | Cheltenham Town
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.62) |
4.41 ↑
(3.98) |
7.27 ↑
(5.09) |
3.4%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
- MK Dons is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cheltenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
- In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Hendry C.
(Inactive)
Thompson-Sommers K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Cundy R.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Cheltenham Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
22.03.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:1
16.11.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cheltenham Town
3:2
15.04.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cheltenham Town
2:2
29.10.2022
Cheltenham Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:0
30.08.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cheltenham Town
1:2
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 15 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 | Accrington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
