Result
5:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 3
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.31 | 0.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
69% (227/328) | 66% (189/285) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.31 | 0.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.51 | 0.37 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
69% (227/328) | 66% (189/285) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (28/72) | 25% (17/69) |
Passes in final third |
---|
50% (53/105) | 56% (50/90) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (5/14) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.96 | 0.37 |
Throw-ins |
---|
42 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 83% (10/12) |
Duels won |
---|
66 | 61 |
Clearances |
---|
46 | 49 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.37 | 3.51 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.37 | -1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 5', Mazionis J. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Sanders J. ⚽, Offord L. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. ⚽, Mendez-Laing N. (A),
- 25', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽,
- 36', Mazionis J. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
- 42', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Miller G. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 56', Young L. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 60', 4 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
- 67', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 67', Paterson C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 68', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 71', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
- 74', Collar W. 🟨,
- 76', Jones G. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
- 76', Collar W. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 80', 5 - 0, Nemane A. ⚽,
- 83', Archer E. 🟨,
- 89', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
- 89', Broom R. ↓, Tustin H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons 64.1% | Draw 22.2% | Cheltenham Town 13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (1.62) |
4.41 ↑ (3.98) |
7.27 ↑ (5.09) |
3.4% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
- MK Dons is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cheltenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
- In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Hendry C.
(Inactive)
Thompson-Sommers K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Cundy R.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Cheltenham Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
22.03.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:1
16.11.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cheltenham Town
3:2
15.04.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cheltenham Town
2:2
29.10.2022
Cheltenham Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:0
30.08.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cheltenham Town
1:2
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Crewe | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
2 | Chesterfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
3 | MK Dons | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
4 | Grimsby | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
5 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
6 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Swindon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
9 | Salford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Tranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 8 |
11 | Harrogate | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Fleetwood | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
13 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Barrow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Barnet | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Notts Co | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
17 | Colchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
18 | Oldham | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
19 | Newport | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
21 | Accrington | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
22 | Crawley | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
24 | Cheltenham | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League