Milton Keynes Dons vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

League Two - Round 3
Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.31	0.64
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
69% (227/328)	66% (189/285)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
3.51	0.37
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
13	4
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
25	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
69% (227/328)	66% (189/285)
Long passes
39% (28/72)	25% (17/69)
Passes in final third
50% (53/105)	56% (50/90)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.37
Throw-ins
42	23
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
60% (9/15)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
66	61
Clearances
46	49
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.37	3.51
Goals prevented
0.37	-1.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', Mazionis J. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Sanders J. ⚽, Offord L. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. ⚽, Mendez-Laing N. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽,
36', Mazionis J. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
42', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Miller G. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
56', Young L. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
60', 4 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
67', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
67', Paterson C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
68', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
71', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
74', Collar W. 🟨,
76', Jones G. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
76', Collar W. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
80', 5 - 0, Nemane A. ⚽,
83', Archer E. 🟨,
89', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
89', Broom R. ↓, Tustin H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
64.1%

Draw
22.2%

Cheltenham Town
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.4%

17.4%

Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.62)	4.41 ↑ (3.98)	7.27 ↑ (5.09)	3.4% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
MK Dons is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cheltenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Inactive) Thompson-Sommers K. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Cundy R. (Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Cheltenham Town?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town were as follows:

22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1

16.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 3:2

15.04.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 2:2

29.10.2022 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0

30.08.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 1:2

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

12.08.2025 Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

13.08.2025 Cheltenham Town - Exeter City 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Cambridge United - Cheltenham Town 1:0 ✺

25.07.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Cheltenham Town - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	18	11	2	5	28:18	10	35
2	Swindon	18	10	4	4	31:24	7	34
3	MK Dons	18	9	5	4	35:20	15	32
4	Notts Co	18	9	4	5	30:20	10	31
5	Bromley	18	8	6	4	28:22	6	30
6	Gillingham	19	7	8	4	26:20	6	29
7	Cambridge Utd	18	8	5	5	20:16	4	29
8	Salford	18	9	2	7	24:25	-1	29
9	Colchester	19	7	7	5	28:21	7	28
10	Chesterfield	18	7	7	4	32:29	3	28
11	Crewe	18	8	3	7	27:24	3	27
12	Grimsby	18	7	5	6	32:25	7	26
13	Fleetwood	18	7	5	6	27:26	1	26
14	Barnet	18	6	7	5	22:19	3	25
15	Tranmere	18	5	8	5	30:27	3	23
16	Oldham	18	5	8	5	16:13	3	23
17	Accrington	18	5	6	7	21:22	-1	21
18	Barrow	18	5	5	8	18:23	-5	20
19	Crawley	18	4	5	9	22:30	-8	17
20	Shrewsbury	18	4	5	9	18:31	-13	17
21	Bristol Rovers	18	5	2	11	15:31	-16	17
22	Cheltenham	18	5	2	11	14:32	-18	17
23	Harrogate	18	4	4	10	17:28	-11	16
24	Newport	18	3	3	12	18:33	-15	12

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League