Result
2:3
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 31
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 3.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (220/321) | 52% (128/247) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 3.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 4.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (220/321) | 52% (128/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/74) | 25% (21/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/97) | 39% (39/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.66 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.66 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', Offord L. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Nelson C. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
- 37', 0 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Bickerstaff J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 60', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
- 61', Tomlinson J. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 3, Ekpiteta M. ⚽,
- 72', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 72', Davison J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
- 73', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
- 73', Young L. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
- 81', Gilbey A. 🟨,
- 81', Thomas J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
- 84', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Sanders J. ↑,
- 85', Mellish J. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 3, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Deeming C. (A),
- 89', Kelly L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Nurse G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town 20.8% | Draw 24.8% | Milton Keynes Dons 54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.48 ↑ (4.27) |
3.75 ↑ (3.57) |
1.72 ↓ (1.75) |
7% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.
- Cheltenham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- MK Dons is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Broom R.
(Injury)
King T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Cheltenham Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
16.08.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cheltenham Town
5:0
22.03.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:1
16.11.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cheltenham Town
3:2
15.04.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cheltenham Town
2:2
29.10.2022
Cheltenham Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:0
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 54:32 | 22 | 62 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 46:30 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:24 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Swindon | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 50:34 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 59:33 | 26 | 54 |
| 6 | Salford | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Walsall | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:41 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Crewe | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Barnet | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 11 | Colchester | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 45 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 13 | Accrington | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | Oldham | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 43:51 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:50 | -22 | 27 |
| 20 | Crawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 32:51 | -19 | 26 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 26 |
| 22 | Barrow | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 24 |
| 23 | Newport | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22:50 | -28 | 21 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League