Milton Keynes Dons vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town
Result
5:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 3
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.64
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
69% (227/328)66% (189/285)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.64
xG on target (xGOT)
3.510.37
Total shots
169
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
69% (227/328)66% (189/285)
Long passes
39% (28/72)25% (17/69)
Passes in final third
50% (53/105)56% (50/90)
Crosses
36% (5/14)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.37
Throw-ins
4223
Fouls
1013
Tackles
60% (9/15)83% (10/12)
Duels won
6661
Clearances
4649
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.373.51
Goals prevented
0.37-1.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 5', Mazionis J. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Sanders J. , Offord L. (A),
  • 15', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. , Mendez-Laing N. (A),
  • 25', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ,
  • 36', Mazionis J. , Kinsella L. ,
  • 42', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Miller G. , Bickerstaff J. ,
  • 56', Young L. , Martin J. ,
  • 60', 4 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. , Paterson C. (A),
  • 67', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Leko J. ,
  • 67', Paterson C. , Hogan S. ,
  • 68', Mendez-Laing N. , Nemane A. ,
  • 71', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
  • 74', Collar W. 🟨,
  • 76', Jones G. , Ekpiteta M. ,
  • 76', Collar W. , Lemonheigh-Evans C. ,
  • 80', 5 - 0, Nemane A. ,
  • 83', Archer E. 🟨,
  • 89', Jude-Boyd A. , Harmon G. ,
  • 89', Broom R. , Tustin H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
64.1%
Draw
22.2%
Cheltenham Town
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.6% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 22.4% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.62)
    4.41
    (3.98)
    7.27
    (5.09)
    3.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
    • MK Dons is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cheltenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Inactive) Thompson-Sommers K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Cundy R. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1
    16.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 3:2
    15.04.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 2:2
    29.10.2022 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0
    30.08.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Salford1161417:15219
    6MK Dons1153319:12718
    7Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    8Chesterfield1153320:19118
    9Notts Co1152420:13717
    10Barnet1152414:12217
    11Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    12Crewe1051414:11316
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League