Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
0:0
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 46
  • Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.24
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
68% (266/394)63% (195/310)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.76
Total shots
95
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
169
Passes
68% (266/394)63% (195/310)
Long passes
31% (24/78)23% (19/82)
Passes in final third
47% (55/117)45% (39/87)
Crosses
46% (6/13)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.19
Throw-ins
2633
Fouls
916
Tackles
64% (18/28)48% (11/23)
Duels won
9257
Clearances
3023
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.760.00
Goals prevented
0.760.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Sanders J. 🟨,
  • 24', Smith H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tomlinson J. , O'Reilly T. ,
  • 62', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Leko J. ,
  • 68', Hendry C. 🟨,
  • 76', Kelly L. , White J. ,
  • 77', Hendry C. , Patterson T. ,
  • 77', Kirkman B. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 78', Ofoborh N. , Cotterill J. ,
  • 78', Smith H. , Westley J. ,
  • 83', Clarke O. , Hall G. ,
  • 84', Butterworth D. , Alston G. ,
  • 90+3', Maguire L. , Lewington D. ,

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
53.7%
Draw
23.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 24.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 23.9% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.81)
    3.94
    (3.9)
    4.18
    (3.89)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0.
    • Swindon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • MK Dons's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Swindon is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Hall G. (Inactive) Nichols T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 1.1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 3:1
    17.02.2024 Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2
    28.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 3:2
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League