Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

League Two - Round 22
Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.49
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
62% (181/293)	75% (316/419)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.58	0.80
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
12	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
18	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
62% (181/293)	75% (316/419)
Long passes
37% (30/82)	52% (34/66)
Passes in final third
45% (54/119)	68% (73/108)
Crosses
15% (3/20)	17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	1.17
Throw-ins
19	25
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
67% (14/21)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
62	63
Clearances
39	28
Interceptions
11	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.80	1.58
Goals prevented
0.80	0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Nemane A. ⚽, Gilbey A. (A),
21', Munroe F. 🟨,
38', Collar W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Oldaker D. 🟨,
59', Munroe F. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
60', McGregor J. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
63', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
63', Nemane A. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
70', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
72', Bodin B. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
72', Tafazolli R. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
88', Oldaker D. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
89', Jones G. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
49.6%

Draw
27.3%

Swindon Town
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.2%

27%

Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.98)	3.4 ↓ (3.65)	4.02 ↑ (3.34)	7.2% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 30.4% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Recently, Swindon has had a series of home games.
MK Dons will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Sanders J. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.3:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Swindon Town?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town were as follows:

11.11.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 0:4

03.05.2025 Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0

09.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 3:1

17.02.2024 Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2

28.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 3:2

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

20.12.2025 Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4 ✺

13.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 3:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

20.12.2025 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town 0:3 ✺

09.12.2025 Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town 0:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Swindon Town - Bolton Wanderers 4:0 ✺

02.12.2025 Swindon Town - Peterborough United 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
3	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
4	Swindon	30	17	4	9	50:34	16	55
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
9	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
10	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
11	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
12	Grimsby	29	12	9	8	41:32	9	45
13	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	29	5	6	18	29:54	-25	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League