Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
11/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.363.92
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
19
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
74% (287/387)71% (222/313)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.363.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.783.63
Total shots
617
Shots on target
19
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
414
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1127
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
74% (287/387)71% (222/313)
Long passes
32% (19/60)42% (29/69)
Passes in final third
52% (60/116)60% (47/78)
Crosses
36% (5/14)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.91
Throw-ins
3124
Fouls
1413
Tackles
64% (9/14)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5469
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
3.630.78
Goals prevented
-0.370.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Clarke O. , Bodin B. (A),
  • 14', Clarke O. 🟨,
  • 19', Wilson-Brown T. , Delaney R. ,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Drinan A. (Pen),
  • 35', 0 - 3, Drinan A. , Munroe F. (A),
  • 38', Bodin B. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Medwynter C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tomlinson J. , Mellish J. ,
  • 46', Tafazolli R. , Mabete F. ,
  • 61', Maguire L. , Guzynski M. ,
  • 62', Ball J. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 62', Kilkenny G. , Oldaker D. ,
  • 71', 0 - 4, Drinan A. , Bodin B. (A),
  • 73', Munroe F. 🟨,
  • 78', Thompson N. , Domi R. ,
  • 87', Leko J. , Osborne K. ,
  • 87', Crowley D. , Silver R. ,
  • 90', Oldaker D. , Wright W. ,
  • 90+2', Mabete F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
15%
Draw
18.8%
Swindon Town
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 25.8% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 25.5% 35.6%

Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
6.7
(2.43)
5.13
(3.58)
1.42
(2.56)
4.7%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Swindon (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 4.
    • MK Dons is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Swindon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, MK Dons has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Swindon has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:16. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0
    09.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 3:1
    17.02.2024 Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2
    28.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 3:2
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9ColchesterWest Ham U21
    10CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    11LutonExeter4 : 0
    12SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    13NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    14StevenageWalsall1 : 2
    15Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    16Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham
    2DoncasterFleetwood
    3BoltonPort Vale
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate
    5TBD #9AFC Wimbledon
    6LutonSwindon
    7NorthamptonWalsall
    8Bristol RoversPlymouth