Tranmere Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 17
  • Referee: Watkins R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.75
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
65% (207/320)70% (252/361)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.731.01
Total shots
914
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
625
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
65% (207/320)70% (252/361)
Long passes
41% (38/93)28% (26/93)
Passes in final third
48% (45/94)56% (70/126)
Crosses
20% (2/10)9% (2/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.44
Throw-ins
1732
Fouls
1110
Tackles
75% (12/16)50% (11/22)
Duels won
6765
Clearances
4436
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.011.73
Goals prevented
-0.99-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', Leko J. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Whitaker C. , Joseph J. (A),
  • 23', Finley S. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Whitaker C. , McGowan A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 60', Finley S. , Smallwood R. ,
  • 60', Ironside J. , Jennings C. ,
  • 61', McGowan A. , Kenneh N. ,
  • 61', Nemane A. , Jones G. ,
  • 61', Tomlinson J. , Mellish J. ,
  • 62', Collar W. , Collins A. ,
  • 67', Joseph J. 🟨,
  • 73', Whitaker C. , Davison J. ,
  • 75', Ekpiteta M. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Mellish J. ,
  • 79', Leko J. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 88', Blacker B. , Dennis K. ,
  • 90+1', Mellish J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Crowley D. , Maguire L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tranmere Rovers
32.3%
Draw
26.7%
Milton Keynes Dons
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 26.4% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 25.9% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranmere Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tranmere Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.48)
    3.45
    (3.51)
    2.34
    (2.57)
    6.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L. (Hip Injury) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E. (Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A. (Hamstring Injury) Hogan S. (Inactive) Jones G. (Hamstring Injury) Lemonheigh-Evans C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1
    05.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers 1:1
    13.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2
    12.08.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers 1:0
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League