Result
1:2 ET
17/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (471/561) | 87% (573/655) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 37 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (471/561) | 87% (573/655) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 53% (40/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (128/176) | 80% (141/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
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| 57% (12/21) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
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| 60 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.55 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.45 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Bukari O. 🟨,
- 29', Yeboah K. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
- 34', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Pereira D. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Bukari O. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Hines-Ike B. 🟨,
- 61', Markanich A. ↓, Fitz D. ↑,
- 61', Triantis N. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,
- 64', Desler M. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Pereyra J. ⚽,
- 83', Kolmanic Z. ↓, Guilherme Biro ↑,
- 83', Sanchez I. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
- 83', Romero N. ↓, Duggan M. ↑,
- 83', Trapp W. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
- 90', Diaz J. ↓, Randell A. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 96', Bukari O. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
- 104', Wolff O. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 104', Djordjevic M. ↓, Svatok O. ↑,
- 114', Pereyra J. 🟨,
- 120', 1 - 2, Fodrey C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Minnesota United
48.5% | Draw
27.3% | Austin FC
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-3%)
Minnesota United - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.01) |
3.4 ↑
(3.14) |
3.96 ↓
(4.18) |
6%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Austin FC?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
- Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Austin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Minnesota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Minnesota could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Austin FC?
Minnesota United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against Minnesota United?
Austin FC has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Austin FC were as follows:
24.05.2025
Minnesota United
-
Austin FC
1:1
03.05.2025
Austin FC
-
Minnesota United
0:3
22.06.2024
Minnesota United
-
Austin FC
0:1
24.02.2024
Austin FC
-
Minnesota United
1:2
08.07.2023
Minnesota United
-
Austin FC
1:4
Latest results of Minnesota United
Latest results of Austin FC
Draw
20251/128-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
| 3 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Richmond Kickers | Virginia Dream | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 9 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | Menace | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Flatirons | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | San Antonio | |
| 17 | Hartford Athletic | New York Shockers | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
| 24 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 25 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 29 | Detroit | Bye | |
| 31 | Motown | Westchester SC | |
| 32 | Cincinnati 2 | New York Pancyprian | 0 : 1 |
| 33 | Tacoma Defiance | Washington AC | 3 : 1 |
| 34 | Ballard | Spokane Velocity | 0 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
| 40 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 41 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
| 43 | Monterey Bay | International SF | 4 : 0 |
| 44 | Real Monarchs | El Farolito | 1 : 3 |
| 48 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 49 | Forward Madison | Duluth FC | 5 : 1 |
| 50 | Tulsa Athletic | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
| 56 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 57 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 61 | New Mexico | Bye | |
| 63 | Ventura County | Laguna United | 7 : 0 |
| 64 | El Paso | Harpos | 5 : 1 |
| 65 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 69 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
| 71 | Inter Miami II | Miami United | 4 : 2 |
| 72 | Miami FC | Naples United | 4 : 1 |
| 73 | Columbus Crew 2 | NY Renegades | 4 : 1 |
| 74 | Lexington | Southern Indiana | 5 : 0 |
| 76 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
| 80 | Bye | New York City | |
| 81 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
| 83 | Asheville City | Greenville | 0 : 1 |
| 84 | Appalachian | One Knoxville | 0 : 3 |
| 88 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 89 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 93 | AV Alta | Ventura | 3 : 1 |
| 94 | Los Angeles FC II | Arizona FC | 7 : 1 |
| 96 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
| 97 | Sarasota Paradise | FC Naples | 1 : 2 |
| 98 | Little Rock Rangers | Birmingham | 1 : 0 |
| 100 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
| 104 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 105 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 109 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
| 111 | Chattanooga | Corpus Christi FC | 1 : 0 |
| 112 | New Jersey Alliance | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
| 113 | Long Island | Charlotte Independ. | 2 : 3 |
| 114 | Carolina Core | Soda City | 4 : 2 |
| 116 | Bye | North Carolina | |
| 120 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 121 | DC United | Bye | |
| 125 | Charleston | Bye | |
| 127 | Tormenta | Harbor City | 3 : 0 |
| 128 | Texoma | Foro | 1 : 2 |
1/64-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
| 2 | Loudoun | Virginia Dream | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 5 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 7 | Menace | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | San Antonio | |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
| 12 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 15 | Detroit | Bye | |
| 16 | Westchester SC | New York Pancyprian | 3 : 2 |
| 17 | Tacoma Defiance | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
| 20 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 21 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
| 22 | Monterey Bay | El Farolito | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 25 | Forward Madison | FC Tulsa | 1 : 3 |
| 26 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
| 28 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 29 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 31 | New Mexico | Bye | |
| 32 | Ventura County | El Paso | 0 : 3 |
| 33 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 35 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
| 36 | Inter Miami II | Miami FC | 0 : 1 |
| 37 | Columbus Crew 2 | Lexington | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
| 40 | Bye | New York City | |
| 41 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
| 42 | Greenville | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 44 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 45 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 47 | AV Alta | Los Angeles FC II | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
| 49 | FC Naples | Little Rock Rangers | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
| 52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 53 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 55 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
| 56 | Chattanooga | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 2 |
| 57 | Charlotte Independ. | Carolina Core | 2 : 1 |
| 58 | Bye | North Carolina | |
| 60 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 61 | DC United | Bye | |
| 63 | Charleston | Bye | |
| 64 | Tormenta | Foro | 3 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Loudoun | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 3 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 4 | Union Omaha | San Antonio | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Rhode Island | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 8 | Detroit | Westchester SC | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | Oakland Roots | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 11 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 13 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 15 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 2 : 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 18 | Indy Eleven | Miami FC | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Columbus Crew 2 | Pittsburgh | 0 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | New York City | |
| 21 | Colorado Springs | One Knoxville | 3 : 2 |
| 22 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 23 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 24 | AV Alta | Orange County SC | 3 : 2 |
| 25 | FC Naples | Tampa Bay | 1 : 2 |
| 26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 27 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 28 | Las Vegas Lights | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
| 29 | Charlotte Independ. | North Carolina | 1 : 3 |
| 30 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 31 | DC United | Bye | |
| 32 | Charleston | Tormenta | 4 : 0 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | Union Omaha | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rhode Island | New England Revolution | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | Detroit | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | El Paso | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union | Indy Eleven | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Pittsburgh | New York City | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Colorado Springs | New York Red Bulls | 1 : 4 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | AV Alta | 3 : 1 |
| 13 | Tampa Bay | Orlando City | 0 : 5 |
| 14 | Nashville SC | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | North Carolina | Charlotte | 1 : 4 |
| 16 | DC United | Charleston | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Minnesota United | St. Louis City | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | Chicago Fire | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | Austin FC | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union | Pittsburgh | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls | FC Dallas | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Orlando City | Nashville SC | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Charlotte | DC United | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Minnesota United | Chicago Fire | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin FC | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | New York Red Bulls | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | DC United | 5 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Minnesota United | Austin FC | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | Nashville SC | 1 : 3 |
Final
