Minnesota United vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.53
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
1324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Long passes
43% (16/37)67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
59% (34/58)86% (248/290)
Crosses
33% (2/6)19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.32
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1010
Tackles
78% (14/18)79% (19/24)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
3312
Interceptions
165
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.532.09
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Harvey C. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
  • 45', Boxall M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Markanich A. , Romero N. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Messi L. , Alba J. (A), Allen N. (A2)
  • 49', Markanich A. , Rosales J. ,
  • 49', Redondo Solari F. , Allende T. ,
  • 58', Diaz J. , Yeboah K. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Weigandt M. (Own goal),
  • 70', 4 - 1, Lod R. , Oluwaseyi T. (A), Romero N. (A2)
  • 71', Oluwaseyi T. , Jeong S. ,
  • 71', Hlongwane B. , Gressel J. ,
  • 76', Segovia T. , Aviles T. ,
  • 76', Weigandt M. , Fray I. ,
  • 76', Bright Y. , Leo Afonso ,
  • 80', Lujan G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
41%
Draw
26.1%
Inter Miami
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.5% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.6% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Minnesota United - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.58)
    3.66
    (3.59)
    2.91
    (2.59)
    4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 31.2%83%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Inter Miami (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Inter Miami (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Minnesota United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 3 - 60%). Inter Miami (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Ankle Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Minnesota: Yeboah K. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minnesota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)