Minnesota United vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.53
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
1324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Long passes
43% (16/37)67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
59% (34/58)86% (248/290)
Crosses
33% (2/6)19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.32
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1010
Tackles
78% (14/18)79% (19/24)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
3312
Interceptions
165
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.532.09
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Harvey C. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
  • 45', Boxall M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Markanich A. , Romero N. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Messi L. , Alba J. (A), Allen N. (A2)
  • 49', Markanich A. , Rosales J. ,
  • 49', Redondo Solari F. , Allende T. ,
  • 58', Diaz J. , Yeboah K. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Weigandt M. (Own goal),
  • 70', 4 - 1, Lod R. , Oluwaseyi T. (A), Romero N. (A2)
  • 71', Oluwaseyi T. , Jeong S. ,
  • 71', Hlongwane B. , Gressel J. ,
  • 76', Segovia T. , Aviles T. ,
  • 76', Weigandt M. , Fray I. ,
  • 76', Bright Y. , Leo Afonso ,
  • 80', Lujan G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
41%
Draw
26.1%
Inter Miami
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.5% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.6% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Minnesota United - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.58)
    3.66
    (3.59)
    2.91
    (2.59)
    4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 31.2%83%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Inter Miami (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Inter Miami (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Minnesota United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 3 - 60%). Inter Miami (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Ankle Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Minnesota: Yeboah K. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minnesota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)