Minnesota United vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.53
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
1324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Long passes
43% (16/37)67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
59% (34/58)86% (248/290)
Crosses
33% (2/6)19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.32
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1010
Tackles
78% (14/18)79% (19/24)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
3312
Interceptions
165
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.532.09
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Harvey C. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
  • 45', Boxall M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Markanich A. , Romero N. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Messi L. , Alba J. (A), Allen N. (A2)
  • 49', Markanich A. , Rosales J. ,
  • 49', Redondo Solari F. , Allende T. ,
  • 58', Diaz J. , Yeboah K. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Weigandt M. (Own goal),
  • 70', 4 - 1, Lod R. , Oluwaseyi T. (A), Romero N. (A2)
  • 71', Oluwaseyi T. , Jeong S. ,
  • 71', Hlongwane B. , Gressel J. ,
  • 76', Segovia T. , Aviles T. ,
  • 76', Weigandt M. , Fray I. ,
  • 76', Bright Y. , Leo Afonso ,
  • 80', Lujan G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
41%
Draw
26.1%
Inter Miami
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.5% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.6% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Minnesota United - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.58)
    3.66
    (3.59)
    2.91
    (2.59)
    4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 31.2%83%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Inter Miami (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Inter Miami (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Minnesota United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 3 - 60%). Inter Miami (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Ankle Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Minnesota: Yeboah K. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minnesota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)