Minnesota United vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Minnesota United - Inter Miami
Result
4:1
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.53
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
1324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Long passes
43% (16/37)67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
59% (34/58)86% (248/290)
Crosses
33% (2/6)19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.32
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1010
Tackles
78% (14/18)79% (19/24)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
3312
Interceptions
165
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.532.09
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. ⚽, Harvey C. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
  • 45', Boxall M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Markanich A. ⚽, Romero N. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Messi L. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Allen N. (A2)
  • 49', Markanich A. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
  • 49', Redondo Solari F. ↓, Allende T. ↑,
  • 58', Diaz J. ↓, Yeboah K. ↑,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Weigandt M. (Own goal),
  • 70', 4 - 1, Lod R. ⚽, Oluwaseyi T. (A), Romero N. (A2)
  • 71', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Jeong S. ↑,
  • 71', Hlongwane B. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,
  • 76', Segovia T. ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
  • 76', Weigandt M. ↓, Fray I. ↑,
  • 76', Bright Y. ↓, Leo Afonso ↑,
  • 80', Lujan G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
41%		Draw
26.1%		Inter Miami
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.5% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.6% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4%)
    •

    Minnesota United - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.33 ↓
    (2.58)    		 3.66 ↑
    (3.59)    		 2.91 ↑
    (2.59)    		 4.6%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 31.2% – 83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Ankle Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Minnesota: Yeboah K. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minnesota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    07.05.2025 Louisville City - Minnesota United 0:1
    03.05.2025 Austin FC - Minnesota United 0:3 ✺
    27.04.2025 Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:3 ✺
    19.04.2025 Minnesota United - FC Dallas 0:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Toronto FC - Minnesota United 0:0
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    03.05.2025 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 4:1 ✺
    30.04.2025 Inter Miami - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:3 ✺
    27.04.2025 Inter Miami - FC Dallas 3:4 ✺
    24.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Inter Miami 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Columbus Crew - Inter Miami 0:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Orlando City28138754:401447
    5Inter Miami25137554:401446
    6Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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