Toronto FC vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Toronto FC - Minnesota United
Result
0:0
12/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.450.70
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
85% (346/405)85% (364/430)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.450.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.08
Total shots
98
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1024
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
85% (346/405)85% (364/430)
Long passes
66% (31/47)60% (24/40)
Passes in final third
70% (68/97)68% (86/127)
Crosses
7% (1/15)29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.14
Fouls
1116
Tackles
53% (9/17)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5335
Clearances Total
4820
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.080.64
Goals prevented
0.080.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Hlongwane B. 🟨,
  • 32', Insigne L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Hlongwane B. , Taylor D. ,
  • 70', Trapp W. , Shashoua S. ,
  • 72', Etienne D. , Spicer T. ,
  • 80', Corbeanu T. , Sharp C. ,
  • 80', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 84', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 87', Rosales J. , Markanich A. ,
  • 87', Yeboah K. , Jeong S. ,
  • 87', Diaz J. , Harvey C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
33.3%
Draw
27.2%
Minnesota United
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 25.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Toronto FC - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.73)
    3.5
    (3.74)
    2.41
    (2.42)
    5.2%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Minnesota United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Toronto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Minnesota is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Kerr D. (Inactive) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Inactive) Spicer T. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Inactive)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.8:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 3.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Minnesota United were as follows:
    03.06.2023 Minnesota United - Toronto FC 1:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)