Toronto FC vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
12/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.450.70
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
85% (346/405)85% (364/430)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.450.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.08
Total shots
98
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1024
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
85% (346/405)85% (364/430)
Long passes
66% (31/47)60% (24/40)
Passes in final third
70% (68/97)68% (86/127)
Crosses
7% (1/15)29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.14
Fouls
1116
Tackles
53% (9/17)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5335
Clearances Total
4820
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.080.64
Goals prevented
0.080.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Hlongwane B. 🟨,
  • 32', Insigne L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Hlongwane B. , Taylor D. ,
  • 70', Trapp W. , Shashoua S. ,
  • 72', Etienne D. , Spicer T. ,
  • 80', Corbeanu T. , Sharp C. ,
  • 80', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 84', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 87', Rosales J. , Markanich A. ,
  • 87', Yeboah K. , Jeong S. ,
  • 87', Diaz J. , Harvey C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
33.3%
Draw
27.2%
Minnesota United
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 25.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Toronto FC - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.73)
    3.5
    (3.74)
    2.41
    (2.42)
    5.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Minnesota United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Minnesota (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Toronto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Minnesota is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Kerr D. (Inactive) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Inactive) Spicer T. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Inactive)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.8:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 3.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Minnesota United were as follows:
    03.06.2023 Minnesota United - Toronto FC 1:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)