Toronto FC vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

BMO Field (Toronto, ON).

MLS
Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.45	0.70
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
1	7
Passes
85% (346/405)	85% (364/430)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45	0.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	0.08
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
3	6
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
10	24
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
85% (346/405)	85% (364/430)
Long passes
66% (31/47)	60% (24/40)
Passes in final third
70% (68/97)	68% (86/127)
Crosses
7% (1/15)	29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	1.14
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
53% (9/17)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
53	35
Clearances Total
48	20
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.08	0.64
Goals prevented
0.08	0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Hlongwane B. 🟨,
32', Insigne L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Hlongwane B. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
70', Trapp W. ↓, Shashoua S. ↑,
72', Etienne D. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
80', Corbeanu T. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
80', Insigne L. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
84', Diaz J. 🟨,
87', Rosales J. ↓, Markanich A. ↑,
87', Yeboah K. ↓, Jeong S. ↑,
87', Diaz J. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Toronto FC
33.3%

Draw
27.2%

Minnesota United
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

25.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Toronto FC - Minnesota United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.73)	3.5 ↓ (3.74)	2.41 ↓ (2.42)	5.2% (4.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Minnesota United?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Minnesota (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Toronto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Minnesota is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Toronto: Kerr D. (Inactive) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Inactive) Spicer T. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Inactive)
There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Inactive)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.8:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 3.5:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Minnesota United?

Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Toronto FC?

Minnesota United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Minnesota United were as follows:

03.06.2023 Minnesota United - Toronto FC 1:1

Latest results of Toronto FC

06.04.2025 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Toronto FC - Vancouver Whitecaps 0:0 ✺

22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Toronto FC - Chicago Fire 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Minnesota United

06.04.2025 New York City - Minnesota United 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Minnesota United - Real Salt Lake 2:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United 3:3 ✺

08.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 0:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Los Angeles FC	6	5	1	0	14:0	14	16
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	6	5	0	1	17:4	13	15
3	San Jose Earthquakes	6	5	0	1	10:1	9	15
4	Real Salt Lake	6	4	1	1	12:8	4	13
5	Seattle Sounders	6	4	1	1	6:2	4	13
6	FC Dallas	6	3	2	1	14:9	5	11
7	San Diego FC	6	3	2	1	13:8	5	11
8	Colorado Rapids	6	3	0	3	13:10	3	9
9	Minnesota United	6	2	2	2	6:12	-6	8
10	Houston Dynamo	5	2	0	3	8:10	-2	6
11	Austin FC	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
13	St. Louis City	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5
14	Portland Timbers	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4
15	Sporting Kansas City	6	1	1	4	6:14	-8	4

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	6	4	1	1	13:3	10	13
2	New York City	6	3	2	1	14:7	7	11
3	Charlotte	6	3	2	1	12:7	5	11
4	Inter Miami	6	3	2	1	11:10	1	11
5	Chicago Fire	6	3	1	2	8:5	3	10
6	Toronto FC	6	3	1	2	9:10	-1	10
7	New York Red Bulls	6	3	1	2	9:13	-4	10
8	DC United	6	2	1	3	4:8	-4	7
9	New England Revolution	5	2	0	3	11:9	2	6
10	FC Cincinnati	6	2	0	4	9:15	-6	6
11	Columbus Crew	6	1	2	3	8:9	-1	5
12	Atlanta Utd	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
13	CF Montreal	6	1	0	5	7:17	-10	3
14	Orlando City	6	1	0	5	5:23	-18	3
15	Philadelphia Union	6	0	0	6	4:11	-7	0

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)