Toronto FC vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Toronto FC - Minnesota United
Result
0:0
12/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.450.70
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
85% (346/405)85% (364/430)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.450.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.08
Total shots
98
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1024
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
85% (346/405)85% (364/430)
Long passes
66% (31/47)60% (24/40)
Passes in final third
70% (68/97)68% (86/127)
Crosses
7% (1/15)29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.14
Fouls
1116
Tackles
53% (9/17)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5335
Clearances Total
4820
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.080.64
Goals prevented
0.080.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Hlongwane B. 🟨,
  • 32', Insigne L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Hlongwane B. , Taylor D. ,
  • 70', Trapp W. , Shashoua S. ,
  • 72', Etienne D. , Spicer T. ,
  • 80', Corbeanu T. , Sharp C. ,
  • 80', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 84', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 87', Rosales J. , Markanich A. ,
  • 87', Yeboah K. , Jeong S. ,
  • 87', Diaz J. , Harvey C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
33.3%
Draw
27.2%
Minnesota United
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 25.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Toronto FC - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.73)
    3.5
    (3.74)
    2.41
    (2.42)
    5.2%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Minnesota United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Toronto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Minnesota is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Kerr D. (Inactive) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Inactive) Spicer T. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Inactive)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.8:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 3.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Minnesota United were as follows:
    03.06.2023 Minnesota United - Toronto FC 1:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Orlando City28138754:401447
    5Inter Miami25137554:401446
    6Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)