Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
15/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3826
Shots off target
219
Shooting PCT
5.26% (2/38)15.38% (4/26)
Blocked shots
2813
Goalkeeper Saves
2236
Saves PCT
88% (22/25)94.74% (36/38)
Penalties
34
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (4/4)
Hits
2113
Faceoffs Won
2629
Faceoffs %
47.2752.73
Giveaways
1623
Takeaways
64
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 01:07, 0 - 1, Rielly M. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
  • 02:19, 0 - 2, Groulx B. (G), Stecher T. (A), Robertson N. (A2)
  • 08:18, 0 - 3, Groulx B. (G),
  • 09:29, Jarnkrok C. (2 min),
  • 14:13, Zuccarello M. (2 min),
  • 14:13, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 15:05, Kaprizov K. (2 min),
  • 15:05, McCabe J. (2 min),
  • 17:18, Trenin Y. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 04:51, 1 - 3, Tarasenko V. (G), Zuccarello M. (A), Hartman R. (A2)
  • 05:14, 2 - 3, Tarasenko V. (G), Hartman R. (A), Zuccarello M. (A2)
  • 11:22, Robertson N. (2 min),
  • 19:23, 2 - 4, Knies M. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota Wild
57.6%
Draw
20.5%
Toronto Maple Leafs
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 22.6% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 22.5% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minnesota Wild's performance.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minnesota Wild that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.98)
    4.64
    (4.19)
    4.29
    (3.19)
    5.5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 39.2%89.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Minnesota (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Minnesota Wild will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
    • Recent performances by Minnesota have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toronto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Minnesota is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Foligno M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • There are questionable in Minnesota: Brink B. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 52:54. (average 2.6:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 2.4:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    19.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 3:6
    29.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 1:3
    03.11.2024 Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:1
    19.11.2023 Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    14.10.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 7:4
    Latest results of Minnesota Wild
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 704161013263:177104
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7133101117244:19697
    3Minnesota Wild7225151220236:20892
    4Anaheim Ducks712416427240:24584
    5Utah Mammoth72289629225:20380
    6Edmonton Oilers72278928250:24679
    7Vegas Golden Knights722481426225:22578
    8Nashville Predators71259928215:23577
    9Los Angeles Kings7118101825189:21674
    10Seattle Kraken702561029200:21872
    11Winnipeg Jets712461229203:22072
    12San Jose Sharks692012631211:24970
    13St. Louis Blues702631130184:22569
    14Calgary Flames71237734180:21967
    15Chicago Blackhawks712071331187:22867
    16Vancouver Canucks70147841182:26250


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes713213620252:21196
    2Buffalo Sabres72377820254:21196
    3Tampa Bay Lightning70359521257:19593
    4Montreal Canadiens7027121021249:23088
    5Boston Bruins722911824240:22488
    6Columbus Blue Jackets7127111122231:21787
    7Pittsburgh Penguins712961620243:22586
    8Ottawa Senators71326924239:21685
    9New York Islanders722614527209:20685
    10Detroit Red Wings712711825207:21184
    11Philadelphia Flyers7021131224204:21480
    12Washington Capitals72305928220:21179
    13Toronto Maple Leafs732381329229:25575
    14New Jersey Devils702412232193:21374
    15Florida Panthers70278332211:23373
    16New York Rangers72199935202:23065

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )