Nacional Montevideo vs Miramar Misiones – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones
Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
64
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Total shots
64
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
12
Corner Kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Gomez M. (Pen),
  • 22', Carneiro G. 🟨,
  • 22', Alonso F. 🟨,
  • 32', Gomez M. 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Gomez M. (Pen),
  • 38', Pandiani A. 🟨,
  • 41', 3 - 0, Otero R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Silvera F. , Roldan M. ,
  • 61', Oliva C. 🟨,
  • 66', Olivera D. , Tirado F. ,
  • 70', Carneiro G. , Lopez N. ,
  • 70', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Mereles E. ,
  • 77', Tirado F. 🟥,
  • 78', Boggio L. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 78', Otero R. , Dos Santos A. ,
  • 79', Da Silva S. , Yepez I. ,
  • 82', Gomez M. , Ebere C. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Gomez M. ,
  • 84', Coates S. 🟨,
  • 89', Diaz O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
79.5%
Draw
13.2%
Miramar Misiones
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 17.6% 11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3% 16.5% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.
  • Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.31)
    7.71
    (5.27)
    13.63
    (7.88)
    2.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5.
    • Nacional is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Miramar Misiones's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Miramar Misiones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:4. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 4:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo 0:2
    18.04.2025 Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo 1:3
    17.10.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones 5:1
    20.07.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones 4:0
    16.04.2024 Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo 1:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1392226:111529
    2Nacional1283124:101424
    3Montevideo City1373323:15824
    4Liverpool M1264216:12422
    5CA Cerro1371513:13022
    6Defensor Sp1371511:13-222
    7Boston River1256120:81221
    8Cerro Largo1354415:14119
    9Progreso1252515:14117
    10Danubio1343614:12215
    11Racing Montevideo1335511:20-914
    12Miramar1233616:19-312
    13Juventud133376:12-612
    14River Plate132477:17-1010
    15Plaza Colonia132299:22-138
    16Wanderers121295:19-145

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