Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Gomez M. (Pen),
- 22', Carneiro G. 🟨,
- 22', Alonso F. 🟨,
- 32', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Gomez M. (Pen),
- 38', Pandiani A. 🟨,
- 41', 3 - 0, Otero R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Silvera F. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
- 61', Oliva C. 🟨,
- 66', Olivera D. ↓, Tirado F. ↑,
- 70', Carneiro G. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 70', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
- 77', Tirado F. 🟥,
- 78', Boggio L. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 78', Otero R. ↓, Dos Santos A. ↑,
- 79', Da Silva S. ↓, Yepez I. ↑,
- 82', Gomez M. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 84', Coates S. 🟨,
- 89', Diaz O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
79.5% | Draw
13.2% | Miramar Misiones
7.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.31) |
7.71 ↑
(5.27) |
13.63 ↑
(7.88) |
2.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5.
- Nacional is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Miramar Misiones's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Miramar Misiones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:4. (average 3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 4:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Miramar Misiones?
Nacional Montevideo has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miramar Misiones won against Nacional Montevideo?
Miramar Misiones has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones were as follows:
21.06.2025
Miramar Misiones
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:2
18.04.2025
Miramar Misiones
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:3
17.10.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Miramar Misiones
5:1
20.07.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Miramar Misiones
4:0
16.04.2024
Miramar Misiones
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:2
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Central Esp | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Danubio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Boston River | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Juventud | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
