Result
2:1
24/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 9
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/428) | 81% (273/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/428) | 81% (273/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (100/126) | 60% (48/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Ceesay J. ⚽, Carboni F. (A),
- 30', Ilie R. 🟨,
- 30', Elia S. 🟨,
- 37', Shpendi S. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ilie R. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
- 50', Zampano F. 🟨,
- 57', Carboni F. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
- 57', Shpendi S. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Tonoli D. ⚽, Santoro S. (A),
- 68', Ceesay J. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 68', Defrel G. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
- 68', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
- 69', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 74', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 79', Gerli F. 🟨,
- 80', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
- 83', Gerli F. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
- 90+4', Tonoli D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Modena
51.6% | Draw
27.5% | Empoli
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Modena - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.92) |
3.42 ↓
(3.45) |
4.44 ↑
(3.75) |
6.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Empoli?
Users Predictions:
Modena will win
(24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 13).
- Modena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Empoli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Modena is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Modena: Pergreffi A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Modena: Tonoli D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Ghion A.
(Injury)
Ignacchiti L.
(Inactive)
Nasti M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Modena will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Empoli?
Modena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Modena?
Empoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Empoli were as follows:
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Padova | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
