Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (316/379) | 84% (347/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (316/379) | 84% (347/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (35/61) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (103/141) | 64% (47/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Pellacani F. 🟨,
- 7', Tonoli D. 🟨,
- 9', Cauz C. 🟨,
- 12', Di Mariano F. 🟨,
- 31', Cauz C. ↓, Dellavalle A. ↑,
- 40', 0 - 1, Olzer G. ⚽, Corazza T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pellacani F. ↓, Gravillon A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
- 56', Brosco R. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Sersanti A. ⚽, Di Mariano F. (A),
- 64', Valzania L. 🟨,
- 66', Di Mariano F. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 66', Sersanti A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 69', Valzania L. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
- 69', Corazza T. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑,
- 78', Squizzato N. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
- 78', Olzer G. ↓, Okwonkwo O. ↑,
- 79', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 79', Santoro S. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2hzfaxaf
Chances of winning
Modena
59.8% | Draw
23.7% | Pescara
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Modena - Pescara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.75) |
3.92 ↑
(3.62) |
5.78 ↑
(4.52) |
5.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Modena - Pescara?
Users Predictions:
Modena will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
- Modena is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pescara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pescara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Modena is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Modena: Strizzolo L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pescara: Caligara F.
(Inactive)
Gravillon A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Modena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Pescara?
Modena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pescara won against Modena?
Pescara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Pescara were as follows:
Latest results of Pescara
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
