Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/09/2025 at  11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel | 
|  World | Onefootball | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.23 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 48% | 52% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (316/379) | 84% (347/411) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.23 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.39 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 3 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 24 | 8 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 15 | 15 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (316/379) | 84% (347/411) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 57% (35/61) | 57% (31/54) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 73% (103/141) | 64% (47/73) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 33% (3/9) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.20 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 11 | 15 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 15 | 15 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 62% (8/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 51 | 50 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 8 | 26 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.66 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.34 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Pellacani F. 🟨, 
- 7', Tonoli D. 🟨, 
- 9', Cauz C. 🟨, 
- 12', Di Mariano F. 🟨, 
- 31', Cauz C. ↓, Dellavalle A. ↑, 
- 40', 0 - 1, Olzer G. ⚽, Corazza T. (A), 
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pellacani F. ↓, Gravillon A. ↑, 
- 52', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. (Pen), 
- 56', Brosco R. 🟨, 
- 59', 2 - 1, Sersanti A. ⚽, Di Mariano F. (A), 
- 64', Valzania L. 🟨, 
- 66', Di Mariano F. ↓, Defrel G. ↑, 
- 66', Sersanti A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑, 
- 69', Valzania L. ↓, Merola D. ↑, 
- 69', Corazza T. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑, 
- 78', Squizzato N. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑, 
- 78', Olzer G. ↓, Okwonkwo O. ↑, 
- 79', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑, 
- 79', Santoro S. ↓, Magnino L. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                  
                    
                        Highlights
                    
                    
					
                        
                           
                            
                                
https://tinyurl.com/2hzfaxaf
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Modena 59.8%
 | Draw 23.7%
 | Pescara 16.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Modena - Pescara Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.59 ↓ (1.75)
 | 3.92 ↑ (3.62)
 | 5.78 ↑ (4.52)
 | 5.7% (6.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Modena - Pescara?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Modena will win 
                    (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
- Modena is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pescara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pescara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Modena is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Modena: Strizzolo L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pescara: Caligara F.
(Inactive)
Gravillon A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Modena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Pescara?
                    
                    
                        
                            Modena has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Pescara won against Modena?
                    
                    
                        
                             Pescara has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Pescara were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Pescara                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 | 
| 2 | Monza | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 | 
| 3 | Cesena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 | 
| 4 | Frosinone | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 18 | 
| 5 | Venezia | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 16 | 
| 6 | Palermo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 | 
| 7 | Reggiana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 | 
| 8 | Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 | 
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 10 | Padova | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 | 
| 11 | Avellino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 | 
| 12 | Catanzaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 | 
| 13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | 
| 14 | Sudtirol | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | 
| 15 | Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 10 | 
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 | 
| 17 | Pescara | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 8 | 
| 18 | Spezia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 | 
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
| 20 | Mantova | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation