Result
3:0
13/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 30
- Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/354) | 82% (417/509) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/354) | 82% (417/509) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/69) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (60/106) | 68% (81/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, De Luca M. ⚽, Wiafe S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Bellemo A. 🟨,
- 53', Beruatto P. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 0, De Luca M. ⚽, Santoro S. (A),
- 57', Bellemo A. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 0, Gliozzi E. ⚽, De Luca M. (A),
- 62', Comotto C. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
- 63', Romano A. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 71', Wiafe S. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
- 71', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 74', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 77', Valoti M. ↓, Shagaxle H. ↑,
- 77', Bonfanti G. ↓, Hristov P. ↑,
- 87', De Luca M. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
- 87', Santoro S. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Modena
56.4% | Draw
25.7% | Spezia
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Modena - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.74) |
3.64 ↑
(3.45) |
5.23 ↑
(4.62) |
6.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Modena - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 21.7% – 78.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Spezia (4.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Spezia (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Spezia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Modena is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Modena won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Spezia?
Modena has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Modena?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Spezia were as follows:
13.12.2025
Spezia
-
Modena
0:2
15.02.2025
Modena
-
Spezia
1:1
02.11.2024
Spezia
-
Modena
1:0
25.02.2024
Modena
-
Spezia
0:0
26.12.2023
Spezia
-
Modena
1:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
