Result
1:3
12/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (461/521) | 87% (390/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (461/521) | 87% (390/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (31/49) | 29% (9/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (103/136) | 77% (96/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.55 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.33 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Romagna F. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Berardi D. ⚽,
- 40', Iannoni E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 59', Boloca D. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Santoro S. ⚽, Caso G. (A),
- 64', 1 - 2, Lauriente A. ⚽, Toljan J. (A),
- 67', Magnino L. 🟨,
- 73', Cotali M. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 73', Gliozzi E. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Moro L. ⚽, Iannoni E. (A),
- 77', Moro L. 🟨,
- 79', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 81', Caso G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 81', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
- 81', Ghion A. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
- 82', Di Pardo A. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
- 86', Berardi D. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
- 87', Moro L. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
- 87', Gerli F. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/p48w6z4z
Chances of winning
Modena
30.2% | Draw
29% | Sassuolo
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Modena - Sassuolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.98) |
3.22 ↑
(3.2) |
2.32 ↓
(2.38) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Modena - Sassuolo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 2.
- Recent matches Modena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sassuolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Modena: Beyuku G.
(Inactive)
Dellavalle A.
(Injury)
Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sassuolo: Mazzitelli L.
(Injury)
Skjellerup L.
(Injury)
Thorstvedt K.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Sassuolo?
Modena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Modena?
Sassuolo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Sassuolo were as follows:
26.10.2024
Sassuolo
-
Modena
2:0
Latest results of Sassuolo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
