Səbail vs MOIK Baku – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
18/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Faracov S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 64', 1 - 1, Voronsov R. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Mammadzada M. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Safarov Q. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Səbail
53.3%
Draw
26.3%
MOIK Baku
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 22.8% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 22.3% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Səbail's form might have worsened.
  • MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Səbail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Səbail - MOIK Baku Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.49)
    3.45
    (3.95)
    4.45
    (5.35)
    10.1%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Səbail - MOIK Baku?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Səbail is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Səbail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Səbail - MOIK Baku were as follows:
    18.02.2026 MOIK Baku - Səbail 1:0
    05.11.2025 Səbail - MOIK Baku 1:0
    22.11.2022 MOIK Baku - Səbail 0:4
    Latest results of Səbail
    12.03.2026 Mingachevir - Səbail 0:1
    06.03.2026 Cəbrayıl - Səbail 1:4
    24.02.2026 Səbail - Baku Sporting 0:0
    18.02.2026 MOIK Baku - Səbail 1:0
    12.02.2026 Səbail - Şəfa 0:0
    Latest results of MOIK Baku
    12.03.2026 Shahdag Qusar - MOIK Baku 1:1
    06.03.2026 MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu 2:1
    25.02.2026 Mingachevir - MOIK Baku 2:0
    18.02.2026 MOIK Baku - Səbail 1:0
    12.02.2026 Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku 2:0
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku21146147:192848
    2Baku Sporting21117332:181440
    3Mingachevir21116438:191939
    4Sabail21107428:171137
    5Sahdag Qusar2194831:26531
    6MOIK Baku2175925:31-626
    7Zaqatala21741023:27-425
    8Cebrayil21621334:42-820
    9Difai Agsu21341425:49-2413
    10Shimal21331518:53-3512

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