Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 23
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Brazil | Caze TV |
Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Israel | Sport 5 Max |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Mexico | FOX One |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/447) | 81% (348/427) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/447) | 81% (348/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (96/132) | 73% (87/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.47 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Edouard O. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
- 31', Diatta K. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 56', 2 - 0, Thauvin F. ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 1, Balogun F. ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
- 63', Edouard O. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
- 69', Adingra S. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Zakaria D. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),
- 72', 2 - 3, Fati A. ⚽,
- 74', Abdulhamid S. 🟨,
- 75', Abdulhamid S. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
- 75', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
- 85', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
- 87', Aguilar R. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
- 87', Bulatovic A. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
- 90+2', Faes W. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ganiou I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lens 55.1% | Draw 23% | Monaco 22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Lens - Monaco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↓ (1.85) |
4.14 ↑ (4.02) |
4.37 ↑ (3.7) |
4.7% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lens - Monaco?
Users Predictions:
72 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 54 - 75%). Monaco will win (votes: 8 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 65% – 85%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Lens (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Lens (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Lens (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Lens (1.77) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -1.5 - Monaco (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Monaco (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2.
- Lens is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Monaco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lens is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lens: Antonio K.
(Foot Injury)
Baidoo S.
(Muscle Injury)
Gradit J.
(Thigh Injury)
Gurtner R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Monaco: Akliouche M.
(Hip Injury)
Cabral P.
(Muscle Injury)
Dier E.
(Injury)
Golovin A.
(Red Card)
Hradecky L.
(Knee Injury)
Mawissa C.
(Injury)
Minamino T.
(Knee Injury)
Ouattara K.
(Calf Injury)
Pogba P.
(Calf Injury)
Salisu M.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderson
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lens won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Monaco?
Lens has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Lens?
Monaco has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Monaco were as follows:
08.11.2025
Monaco
-
Lens
1:4
17.05.2025
Lens
-
Monaco
4:0
01.09.2024
Monaco
-
Lens
1:1
25.02.2024
Lens
-
Monaco
2:3
07.01.2024
Lens
-
Monaco
2:3
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2