Lens vs Monaco, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 23
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsraelSport 5 Max
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.601.95
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
75
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
72
Passes
85% (382/447)81% (348/427)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.601.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.991.53
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
86
Shots outside the box
104
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1213
Passes
85% (382/447)81% (348/427)
Long passes
42% (18/43)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
73% (96/132)73% (87/120)
Crosses
27% (7/26)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.23
Throw ins
1217
Fouls
1312
Tackles
68% (13/19)60% (12/20)
Duels won
5244
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
30
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.531.99
Goals prevented
-1.47-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Edouard O. , Thomasson A. (A),
  • 31', Diatta K. , Bamba A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Thauvin F. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Balogun F. , Coulibaly M. (A),
  • 63', Edouard O. , Sima A. ,
  • 69', Adingra S. , Fati A. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Zakaria D. , Caio Henrique (A),
  • 72', 2 - 3, Fati A. ,
  • 74', Abdulhamid S. 🟨,
  • 75', Abdulhamid S. , Aguilar R. ,
  • 75', Saint-Maximin A. , Fofana R. ,
  • 85', Balogun F. , Biereth M. ,
  • 87', Aguilar R. , Bermont A. ,
  • 87', Bulatovic A. , Sotoca F. ,
  • 90+2', Faes W. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ganiou I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lens
55.1%
Draw
23%
Monaco
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 23.5% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 22.8% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Lens - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.85)
    4.14
    (4.02)
    4.37
    (3.7)
    4.7%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Lens - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 54 - 75%). Monaco will win (votes: 8 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 13.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 65%85%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Lens (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Lens (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Lens (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Lens (1.77) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Monaco (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Monaco (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2.
    • Lens is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Monaco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lens is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lens: Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Akliouche M. (Hip Injury) Cabral P. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury) Golovin A. (Red Card) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Ouattara K. (Calf Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Yellow Cards)
    • We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lens won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.7:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Monaco were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Monaco - Lens 1:4
    17.05.2025 Lens - Monaco 4:0
    01.09.2024 Monaco - Lens 1:1
    25.02.2024 Lens - Monaco 2:3
    07.01.2024 Lens - Monaco 2:3
    Latest results of Lens
    14.02.2026 Paris FC - Lens 0:5
    07.02.2026 Lens - Rennes 3:1
    04.02.2026 Troyes - Lens 2:4
    30.01.2026 Lens - Le Havre 1:0
    24.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Lens 3:1
    Latest results of Monaco
    13.02.2026 Monaco - Nantes 3:1
    08.02.2026 Nice - Monaco 0:0
    05.02.2026 Strasbourg - Monaco 3:1
    31.01.2026 Monaco - Rennes 4:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG26193458:223660
    2Lens27192654:243059
    3Marseille27154854:351949
    4Lyon27145841:291247
    5Lille27145842:34847
    6Monaco27144947:38946
    7Rennes27128743:37644
    8Strasbourg27117943:331040
    9Toulouse271071038:32637
    10Lorient27910837:41-437
    11Brest271061134:39-536
    12Angers27951324:37-1332
    13Paris FC277101032:43-1131
    14Le Havre27691222:35-1327
    15Nice27761432:52-2027
    16Auxerre27571522:36-1422
    17Nantes26451724:45-2117
    18Metz27351925:60-3514

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2