Montehermoso vs Moralo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 75', 0 - 1, ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Montehermoso
18.8%
Draw
28.2%
Moralo
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 28.5% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5% 28.6% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Montehermoso - Moralo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.83
    (4.68)
    3.22
    (3.2)
    1.71
    (1.75)
    10.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
    • Montehermoso has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Moralo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Moralo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montehermoso - Moralo were as follows:
    03.12.2023 Moralo - Montehermoso 1:0
    14.01.2023 Moralo - Montehermoso 7:0
    11.09.2022 Montehermoso - Moralo 0:1
    Latest results of Montehermoso
    15.03.2026 Diocesano - Montehermoso 0:0
    08.03.2026 Montehermoso - Villafranca 1:0
    01.03.2026 Don Benito - Montehermoso 3:1
    14.02.2026 Azuaga - Montehermoso 1:0
    Latest results of Moralo
    15.03.2026 Moralo - Villanovense 3:0
    08.03.2026 Cabeza del Buey - Moralo 1:3
    01.03.2026 Moralo - Llerenense 3:0
    22.02.2026 Badajoz - Moralo 0:1
    15.02.2026 Moralo - Pueblonuevo 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito29187458:193961
    2Moralo29168548:272156
    3CD Badajoz29185645:261956
    4Jaraiz291410548:262252
    5Azuaga29157744:271752
    6Cabeza del Buey291212536:231348
    7Villafranca291361036:33345
    8Villanovense291181035:33241
    9Jerez CF29717550:41938
    10Montijo291071235:34137
    11Llerenense291061328:34-636
    12Santa Amalia29961429:45-1633
    13Puebla297111128:39-1132
    14Gevora29681527:46-1926
    15Diocesano295101426:48-2225
    16Pueblonuevo29651823:51-2823
    17Montehermoso29571720:50-3022
    18CD Calamonte293121421:35-1421

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation