Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (293/353) | 87% (383/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (293/353) | 87% (383/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (63/92) | 78% (56/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Guzman C. 🟨,
- 41', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 44', Gallaway P. 🟨,
- 45+1', Fehr M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gallaway P. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
- 59', Ivanovic L. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
- 60', Okello N. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
- 60', Sacko I. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Scearce J. ⚽,
- 71', Robinson G. 🟨,
- 75', Sainte C. F. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
- 75', Rivera D. ↓, Margaritha J. ↑,
- 80', Rebollar A. 🟨,
- 81', Rebollar A. ↓, Dixon A. ↑,
- 86', Fonguck W. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 0, Flood R. ⚽, Ping J. (A),
- 90', Scearce J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dixon A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Avayevu H. ↓, Araneda A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Phoenix Rising
49% | Draw
27.3% | Monterey Bay
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterey Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterey Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.52) |
3.41 ↑
(2.94) |
3.94 ↑
(2.94) |
7.5%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Phoenix Rising will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Monterey Bay?
Phoenix Rising has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Phoenix Rising?
Monterey Bay has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay were as follows:
29.03.2025
Monterey Bay
-
Phoenix Rising
3:1
04.10.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
Monterey Bay
1:2
16.03.2024
Monterey Bay
-
Phoenix Rising
1:0
29.07.2023
Monterey Bay
-
Phoenix Rising
0:2
15.04.2023
Phoenix Rising
-
Monterey Bay
1:1
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
