Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay
Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.24
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
83% (293/353)87% (383/442)
Yellow Cards
17
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.00
Total shots
155
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
83% (293/353)87% (383/442)
Long passes
45% (17/38)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)78% (56/72)
Crosses
10% (2/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.68
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
1114
Tackles
78% (14/18)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.001.27
Goals prevented
0.00-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Guzman C. 🟨,
  • 41', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 44', Gallaway P. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Fehr M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gallaway P. , Larsson A. ,
  • 59', Ivanovic L. , Robinson G. ,
  • 60', Okello N. , Ping J. ,
  • 60', Sacko I. , Johnson D. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Scearce J. ,
  • 71', Robinson G. 🟨,
  • 75', Sainte C. F. , Flood R. ,
  • 75', Rivera D. , Margaritha J. ,
  • 80', Rebollar A. 🟨,
  • 81', Rebollar A. , Dixon A. ,
  • 86', Fonguck W. , Lyons M. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Flood R. , Ping J. (A),
  • 90', Scearce J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dixon A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Avayevu H. , Araneda A. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
49%
Draw
27.3%
Monterey Bay
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 31.6% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 31% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.
  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterey Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterey Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.52)
    3.41
    (2.94)
    3.94
    (2.94)
    7.5%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Phoenix Rising will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 3:1
    04.10.2024 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 1:2
    16.03.2024 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 1:0
    29.07.2023 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 0:2
    15.04.2023 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 1:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )