Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ).

USL Championship
Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.24
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
8	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
9	4
Passes
83% (293/353)	87% (383/442)
Yellow Cards
1	7
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.27	0.00
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
8	0
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
13	3
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
24	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
83% (293/353)	87% (383/442)
Long passes
45% (17/38)	48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)	78% (56/72)
Crosses
10% (2/21)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.68
Throw-ins
28	19
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
78% (14/18)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
52	42
Clearances
14	20
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.00	1.27
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Guzman C. 🟨,
41', Garcia J. 🟨,
44', Gallaway P. 🟨,
45+1', Fehr M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gallaway P. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
59', Ivanovic L. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
60', Okello N. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
60', Sacko I. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Scearce J. ⚽,
71', Robinson G. 🟨,
75', Sainte C. F. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
75', Rivera D. ↓, Margaritha J. ↑,
80', Rebollar A. 🟨,
81', Rebollar A. ↓, Dixon A. ↑,
86', Fonguck W. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Flood R. ⚽, Ping J. (A),
90', Scearce J. 🟨,
90+2', Dixon A. 🟨,
90+6', Avayevu H. ↓, Araneda A. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Phoenix Rising
49%

Draw
27.3%

Monterey Bay
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

31%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterey Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterey Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.52)	3.41 ↑ (2.94)	3.94 ↑ (2.94)	7.5% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Phoenix Rising will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Monterey Bay?

Phoenix Rising has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Phoenix Rising?

Monterey Bay has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay were as follows:

29.03.2025 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 3:1

04.10.2024 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 1:2

16.03.2024 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 1:0

29.07.2023 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 0:2

15.04.2023 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 1:1

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2 ✺

07.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo 1:4 ✺

03.05.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Phoenix Rising - San Antonio 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Monterey Bay

10.05.2025 Rhode Island - Monterey Bay 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Miami 1:1 ✺

23.04.2025 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Monterey Bay - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 2:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	18	13	2	3	38:16	22	41
2	Louisville City	17	11	5	1	30:13	17	38
3	Loudoun	18	8	3	7	28:27	1	27
4	North Carolina	16	8	2	6	25:20	5	26
5	Pittsburgh	17	6	5	6	15:15	0	23
6	Detroit	17	5	6	6	20:22	-2	21
7	Indy Eleven	16	5	5	6	26:28	-2	20
8	Miami FC	17	5	4	8	17:25	-8	19
9	Birmingham	18	4	6	8	19:25	-6	18
10	Rhode Island	17	4	5	8	14:18	-4	17
11	Hartford Athletic	16	4	4	8	19:21	-2	16
12	Tampa Bay	16	4	2	10	17:25	-8	14

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	17	9	5	3	27:18	9	32
2	San Antonio	16	8	3	5	23:21	2	27
3	New Mexico	16	8	1	7	22:21	1	25
4	Sacramento Republic	16	6	6	4	22:12	10	24
5	Orange County SC	16	7	2	7	26:23	3	23
6	El Paso	16	6	5	5	24:25	-1	23
7	Phoenix Rising	17	6	5	6	27:30	-3	23
8	Monterey Bay	18	6	4	8	19:23	-4	22
9	Colorado Springs	17	5	6	6	22:23	-1	21
10	Oakland Roots	17	6	2	9	19:25	-6	20
11	Lexington	18	4	7	7	18:26	-8	19
12	Las Vegas Lights	17	5	3	9	13:28	-15	18

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )