Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: May C. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.71
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
8	6
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
80% (393/490)	75% (328/439)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	0.95
Total shots
8	6
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
1	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
16	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	4
Free Kicks
9	9
Passes
80% (393/490)	75% (328/439)
Long passes
45% (39/86)	35% (26/75)
Passes in final third
72% (115/159)	57% (76/134)
Crosses
5% (1/20)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.66
Throw-ins
23	24
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
73% (8/11)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
45	49
Clearances
22	26
Interceptions
15	16
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.95	0.48
Goals prevented
0.95	-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Luis Felipe ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Rebollar A. ⚽, Scott T. (A),
73', Bennett K. 🟨,
77', Djedje R. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
80', Lopez R. 🟨,
85', Lopez R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
85', Benitez M. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
87', Gnaulati X. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
90', Klein J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
90+3', Gurr J. 🟨,
90+3', Campuzano N. 🟨,
90+7', Rebollar A. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Monterey Bay
25.8%

Draw
29.1%

Sacramento Republic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.7%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.4%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Sacramento Republic aligns with the current prediction.

Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.51)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)	7.4% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0.
Monterey Bay has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sacramento Republic is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
Sacramento Republic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Sacramento Republic?

Monterey Bay has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Monterey Bay?

Sacramento Republic has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic were as follows:

09.08.2025 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 1:0

09.10.2024 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 2:2

08.06.2024 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 0:2

07.05.2024 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 2:0

05.08.2023 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 0:1

Latest results of Monterey Bay

20.09.2025 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic 0:4 ✺

06.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Monterey Bay - San Antonio 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

20.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:2 ✺

10.09.2025 Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic 0:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

30.08.2025 New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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