Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: May C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.71
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
80% (393/490)75% (328/439)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.95
Total shots
86
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
99
Passes
80% (393/490)75% (328/439)
Long passes
45% (39/86)35% (26/75)
Passes in final third
72% (115/159)57% (76/134)
Crosses
5% (1/20)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.66
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
99
Tackles
73% (8/11)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
1516
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.950.48
Goals prevented
0.95-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', Luis Felipe , Jamieson L. ,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Rebollar A. , Scott T. (A),
  • 73', Bennett K. 🟨,
  • 77', Djedje R. , Wanner D. ,
  • 80', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 85', Lopez R. , Willey B. ,
  • 85', Benitez M. , Baker C. ,
  • 87', Gnaulati X. , Sojberg A. ,
  • 90', Klein J. , Garcia J. ,
  • 90+3', Gurr J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Campuzano N. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Rebollar A. , Bryant E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
25.8%
Draw
29.1%
Sacramento Republic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 28.7% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 28.4% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Sacramento Republic aligns with the current prediction.
  • Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.61
    (3.51)
    3.2
    (3.26)
    2.07
    (2.1)
    7.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0.
    • Monterey Bay has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
    • Sacramento Republic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 1:0
    09.10.2024 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 2:2
    08.06.2024 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    07.05.2024 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 2:0
    05.08.2023 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 0:1
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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