Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.49
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (278/341)79% (270/340)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.720.08
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1915
Passes
82% (278/341)79% (270/340)
Long passes
39% (17/44)36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)62% (63/101)
Crosses
43% (3/7)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.69
Throw-ins
3317
Fouls
1519
Tackles
100% (9/9)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
2234
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.081.72
Goals prevented
0.08-2.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Guzman C. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Pacius W. , Vancaeyezeele T. (A),
  • 43', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Casciato D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 54', Scott T. 🟨,
  • 57', Scott T. , Guediri S. ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Crisostomo D. ,
  • 68', Lyons M. 🟨,
  • 71', Ivanovic L. , Sojberg A. ,
  • 71', Gnaulati X. , Bryant E. ,
  • 72', Fonguck W. , Fehr M. ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Pacius W. ,
  • 78', Crisostomo D. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 79', Robinson G. , Garcia J. ,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Arteaga M. , Marie P. (A),
  • 90', Arteaga M. , Sharp C. ,
  • 90', Bodily B. , Skinner J. ,
  • 90+4', Marie P. , Moon N. ,
  • 90+4', Azocar J. , Rodriguez A. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
52.2%
Draw
24.8%
Monterey Bay
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 24.6% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 24.1% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.7)
    3.73
    (3.76)
    4.02
    (4.4)
    8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2
    12.08.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay 4:1
    02.10.2022 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

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