Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.49
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (278/341)79% (270/340)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.720.08
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1915
Passes
82% (278/341)79% (270/340)
Long passes
39% (17/44)36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)62% (63/101)
Crosses
43% (3/7)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.69
Throw-ins
3317
Fouls
1519
Tackles
100% (9/9)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
2234
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.081.72
Goals prevented
0.08-2.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Guzman C. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Pacius W. , Vancaeyezeele T. (A),
  • 43', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Casciato D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 54', Scott T. 🟨,
  • 57', Scott T. , Guediri S. ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Crisostomo D. ,
  • 68', Lyons M. 🟨,
  • 71', Ivanovic L. , Sojberg A. ,
  • 71', Gnaulati X. , Bryant E. ,
  • 72', Fonguck W. , Fehr M. ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Pacius W. ,
  • 78', Crisostomo D. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 79', Robinson G. , Garcia J. ,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Arteaga M. , Marie P. (A),
  • 90', Arteaga M. , Sharp C. ,
  • 90', Bodily B. , Skinner J. ,
  • 90+4', Marie P. , Moon N. ,
  • 90+4', Azocar J. , Rodriguez A. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
52.2%
Draw
24.8%
Monterey Bay
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 24.6% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 24.1% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.7)
    3.73
    (3.76)
    4.02
    (4.4)
    8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2
    12.08.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay 4:1
    02.10.2022 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

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