Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay
Result
4:0
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.49
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (278/341)79% (270/340)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.720.08
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1915
Passes
82% (278/341)79% (270/340)
Long passes
39% (17/44)36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)62% (63/101)
Crosses
43% (3/7)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.69
Throw-ins
3317
Fouls
1519
Tackles
100% (9/9)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
2234
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.081.72
Goals prevented
0.08-2.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Guzman C. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Pacius W. , Vancaeyezeele T. (A),
  • 43', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Casciato D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 54', Scott T. 🟨,
  • 57', Scott T. , Guediri S. ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Crisostomo D. ,
  • 68', Lyons M. 🟨,
  • 71', Ivanovic L. , Sojberg A. ,
  • 71', Gnaulati X. , Bryant E. ,
  • 72', Fonguck W. , Fehr M. ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Pacius W. ,
  • 78', Crisostomo D. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 79', Robinson G. , Garcia J. ,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Arteaga M. , Marie P. (A),
  • 90', Arteaga M. , Sharp C. ,
  • 90', Bodily B. , Skinner J. ,
  • 90+4', Marie P. , Moon N. ,
  • 90+4', Azocar J. , Rodriguez A. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
52.2%
Draw
24.8%
Monterey Bay
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 24.6% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 24.1% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.7)
    3.73
    (3.76)
    4.02
    (4.4)
    8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2
    12.08.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay 4:1
    02.10.2022 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina ✔ 271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Rhode Island27971123:27-434
    9Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 26128639:211844
    3New Mexico ✔ 271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights27671420:46-2625

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    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )