Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL).

USL Championship
Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.75	0.49
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
82% (278/341)	79% (270/340)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.72	0.08
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
22	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
19	15
Passes
82% (278/341)	79% (270/340)
Long passes
39% (17/44)	36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)	62% (63/101)
Crosses
43% (3/7)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	0.69
Throw-ins
33	17
Fouls
15	19
Tackles
100% (9/9)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
39	32
Clearances
22	34
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.08	1.72
Goals prevented
0.08	-2.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Guzman C. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Pacius W. ⚽, Vancaeyezeele T. (A),
43', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
45+3', Casciato D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Scott T. 🟨,
57', Scott T. ↓, Guediri S. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Crisostomo D. ⚽,
68', Lyons M. 🟨,
71', Ivanovic L. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
71', Gnaulati X. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
72', Fonguck W. ↓, Fehr M. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Pacius W. ⚽,
78', Crisostomo D. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
79', Robinson G. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Arteaga M. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
90', Arteaga M. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
90', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
90+4', Marie P. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
90+4', Azocar J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Rowdies
52.2%

Draw
24.8%

Monterey Bay
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.73 ↓ (3.76)	4.02 ↓ (4.4)	8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Monterey Bay?

Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay were as follows:

03.08.2024 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2

12.08.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay 4:1

02.10.2022 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

28.09.2025 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 2:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 3:3 ✺

06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Monterey Bay

27.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic 0:4 ✺

06.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	5	4	1	0	10:3	7	13
2	Louisville City	6	4	1	1	14:9	5	13
3	Detroit	5	3	1	1	6:2	4	10
4	Charleston	5	3	0	2	7:7	0	9
5	Miami FC	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9
6	Hartford Athletic	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9
7	Indy Eleven	5	2	2	1	8:6	2	8
8	Pittsburgh	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7
9	Brooklyn	6	2	0	4	5:9	-4	6
10	Rhode Island	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
11	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
12	Loudoun	5	0	3	2	8:11	-3	3
13	Sporting Jax	6	0	1	5	5:13	-8	1

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	7	4	2	1	7:3	4	14
2	El Paso	5	4	1	0	14:5	9	13
3	San Antonio	7	3	3	1	5:3	2	12
4	Sacramento Republic	6	2	3	1	7:4	3	9
5	Oakland Roots	5	2	2	1	7:6	1	8
6	New Mexico	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6
7	Phoenix Rising	6	1	3	2	8:8	0	6
8	Colorado Springs	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5
9	Las Vegas Lights	6	1	2	3	9:11	-2	5
10	Lexington	6	1	2	3	6:8	-2	5
11	FC Tulsa	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
12	Monterey Bay	6	0	2	4	2:9	-7	2

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