Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL).

USL Championship
Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.75	0.49
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
82% (278/341)	79% (270/340)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.72	0.08
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
22	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
19	15
Passes
82% (278/341)	79% (270/340)
Long passes
39% (17/44)	36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)	62% (63/101)
Crosses
43% (3/7)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	0.69
Throw-ins
33	17
Fouls
15	19
Tackles
100% (9/9)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
39	32
Clearances
22	34
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.08	1.72
Goals prevented
0.08	-2.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Guzman C. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Pacius W. ⚽, Vancaeyezeele T. (A),
43', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
45+3', Casciato D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Scott T. 🟨,
57', Scott T. ↓, Guediri S. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Crisostomo D. ⚽,
68', Lyons M. 🟨,
71', Ivanovic L. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
71', Gnaulati X. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
72', Fonguck W. ↓, Fehr M. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Pacius W. ⚽,
78', Crisostomo D. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
79', Robinson G. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Arteaga M. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
90', Arteaga M. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
90', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
90+4', Marie P. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
90+4', Azocar J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Rowdies
52.2%

Draw
24.8%

Monterey Bay
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.73 ↓ (3.76)	4.02 ↓ (4.4)	8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Monterey Bay?

Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay were as follows:

03.08.2024 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2

12.08.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay 4:1

02.10.2022 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

28.09.2025 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 2:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 3:3 ✺

06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Monterey Bay

27.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic 0:4 ✺

06.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

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