Peñarol de Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
19/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
80
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
164
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Veglio B. 🟨,
  • 42', Garcia E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Olivera M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Arezo M. ,
  • 50', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Silvera M. ,
  • 61', Garcia E. , Suarez P. ,
  • 61', Luna J. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 66', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Milans P. ,
  • 66', Olivera M. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 66', Baez J. , Cruz A. ,
  • 66', Veglio B. , Wagner G. ,
  • 76', Gabriel G. , Teuten A. ,
  • 77', Parzajuk K. , Martinez M. ,
  • 80', Sosa I. , Couture L. ,
  • 82', Arezo M. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 85', Herrera N. 🟨,
  • 85', Cortes B. 🟨,
  • 90', Rodriguez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
70.3%
Draw
19.4%
Montevideo Wanderers
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 20.6% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 19.4% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Montevideo's performance.
  • Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.42)
    4.82
    (4.5)
    9.25
    (6.5)
    5.5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Wanderers has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.6:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 2:0
    19.04.2025 Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:2
    14.11.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:2
    08.06.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:0
    11.05.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 1:0
    Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
    Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Esp33006:159
    2Nacional32104:227
    3Defensor Sp32104:227
    4Maldonado32017:436
    5Penarol32016:426
    6Danubio32013:4-16
    7Racing Montevideo31117:524
    8Montevideo City31117:524
    9Albion31114:224
    10Liverpool M31114:404
    11Wanderers31113:6-34
    12Cerro Largo31022:3-13
    13Juventud30122:4-21
    14Boston River30121:4-31
    15CA Cerro30121:5-41
    16Progreso30030:6-60

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )