Result
3:0
19/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Veglio B. 🟨,
- 42', Garcia E. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Olivera M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 0, Arezo M. ⚽,
- 50', Acosta M. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 0, Silvera M. ⚽,
- 61', Garcia E. ↓, Suarez P. ↑,
- 61', Luna J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 66', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Milans P. ↑,
- 66', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 66', Baez J. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 66', Veglio B. ↓, Wagner G. ↑,
- 76', Gabriel G. ↓, Teuten A. ↑,
- 77', Parzajuk K. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 80', Sosa I. ↓, Couture L. ↑,
- 82', Arezo M. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
- 85', Herrera N. 🟨,
- 85', Cortes B. 🟨,
- 90', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
70.3% | Draw
19.4% | Montevideo Wanderers
10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Montevideo's performance.Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.42) |
4.82 ↑
(4.5) |
9.25 ↑
(6.5) |
5.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
- Peñarol is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Wanderers has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Peñarol is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.6:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
22.06.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Montevideo Wanderers
2:0
19.04.2025
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
14.11.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:2
08.06.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:0
11.05.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Montevideo Wanderers
1:0
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | River Plate | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
