Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Motta S. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Lemmo I. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, Lemmo I. ⚽,
- 37', Guzman S. 🟨,
- 39', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cerro F. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 58', Lopez P. ↓, Pinheiro A. ↑,
- 59', Guzman S. ↓, Viudez T. ↑,
- 63', Garcia A. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
- 64', Zazpe L. 🟨,
- 65', Lemmo I. 🟨,
- 68', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 73', Lemmo I. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 73', Copelotti M. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 73', Viudez T. 🟨,
- 75', Rivero R. ↓, Suarez P. ↑,
- 75', Parzajuk K. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 79', Suarez M. 🟨,
- 80', Trasante G. ↓, Asconeguy D. ↑,
- 80', Fernandez N. ↓, Carroso H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Progreso
39.2% | Draw
29.6% | Montevideo Wanderers
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.6) |
3.14 ↓
(3.17) |
3.04 ↑
(2.7) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 0.
- Recent performances by Progreso have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wanderers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Progreso has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Progreso?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
27.03.2025
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Progreso
1:1
10.11.2024
Progreso
-
Montevideo Wanderers
0:0
14.07.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Progreso
4:2
04.05.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Progreso
2:0
Latest results of Progreso
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Boston River | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nacional | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Liverpool M | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Danubio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Miramar | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Progreso | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:12 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 | River Plate | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
