Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso
Result
1:1
27/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Varela E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayVTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
810
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
810
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Copelotti M. (Pen),
  • 35', Viera M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Viera M. , Fernandez E. ,
  • 57', Sosa F. 🟨,
  • 58', Sosa F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 58', Copelotti M. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 61', Cerro F. , Zeballos J. ,
  • 61', Acosta M. , Suarez M. ,
  • 61', Suarez P. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 65', Maldonado L. , Carroso H. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Rivero R. (Pen),
  • 76', Garcia E. 🟨,
  • 76', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 77', Zeballos J. 🟨,
  • 85', Rivero R. , Serres F. ,
  • 85', Veglio B. , Queiroz N. ,
  • 88', Teuten A. 🟨,
  • 88', Moreira A. , Fernandez N. ,

Chances of winning


Montevideo Wanderers
47%
Draw
28.2%
Progreso
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 27.5% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 26.1% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.04)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    3.74
    (3.25)
    7.9%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 3.
    • Wanderers is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Progreso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:16 (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wanderers won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers 0:0
    14.07.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso 4:2
    04.05.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso 2:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1