Result
0:1
12/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 27
- Referee: El Hadj H. (Fra)
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
27.8% | Draw
31.1% | Montpellier
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ajaccio - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(2.55) |
3.06 ↓
(3.22) |
2.32 ↓
(2.82) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Montpellier will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 40.7% – 74.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).
- Ajaccio has the most likely position - 18 (26.07%), has project points - 33, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- Montpellier has the most likely position - 14 (24.18%), has project points - 43, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 52, importance 33, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
- Ajaccio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Montpellier is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ajaccio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Montpellier will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Alphonse M.
(Illness)
Cimignani Y.
(Injury)
Hamouma R.
(Injury)
Kone Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Mangani T.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Bertaud D.
(Knee Injury)
Esteve M.
(Injury)
Leroy L.
(Muscle Injury)
Makouana B.
(Injury)
Sainte-Luce T.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Montpellier?
Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Ajaccio?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Montpellier were as follows:
31.08.2022
Montpellier
-
Ajaccio
2:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | PSG | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37:15 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Marseille | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 36:17 | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | Lille | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 32 |
| 5 | Lyon | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Rennes | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29:24 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 23 |
| 9 | Monaco | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 10 | Angers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Brest | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:29 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | Nice | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:30 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 16 |
| 16 | Nantes | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18:38 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
