Montpellier vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 6
  • Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, CANAL+ France, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.58
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
72% (198/275)84% (285/340)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.61
Total shots
813
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2015
Passes
72% (198/275)84% (285/340)
Long passes
48% (29/60)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
57% (45/79)71% (69/97)
Crosses
33% (3/9)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.49
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1520
Tackles
56% (10/18)85% (11/13)
Duels won
7454
Clearances
2634
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.611.84
Goals prevented
0.61-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Jullien C. , Savanier T. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 0, Mendy A. ,
  • 23', Djedje D. , Karamoko I. ,
  • 44', Karamoko I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sebas J. , Tomi F. ,
  • 55', Omeragic B. 🟨,
  • 55', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
  • 60', Aiki A. , Boutrah A. ,
  • 60', Bathily Y. , Janneh J. ,
  • 64', Ngapandouetnbu S. 🟨,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 68', Chennahi T. , Junior Pereira da Silva E. ,
  • 72', Mbuku N. , Pays N. ,
  • 73', Guevara J. 🟨,
  • 73', Zaouai A. , Ble M. ,
  • 80', Savanier T. , Ndiaye J. ,
  • 81', Orakpo V. , Mahboub F. ,
  • 81', El Hannach N. , Mouanga Y. ,
  • 87', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4nsv8w22

Chances of winning


Montpellier
50.9%
Draw
28%
Bastia
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29.8% 30.5%

Montpellier - Bastia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.92
(2.34)
3.54
(3.12)
4.81
(3.04)
1.1%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Bastia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.
    • In recent matches, Montpellier has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bastia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bastia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Montpellier will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Leg Injury) Gueguin A. (Inactive) Michel M. (Broken rib) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Tchato E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Basset D. (Injury) Janneh J. (Inactive) Parravicini N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
    Latest results of Montpellier
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1
    23.08.2025 Troyes - Montpellier 1:0
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    09.08.2025 Montpellier - Red Star 1:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Amiens - Bastia 0:0
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3
    22.08.2025 Le Mans - Bastia 1:0
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National