Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 6
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, CANAL+ France, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (198/275) | 84% (285/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (198/275) | 84% (285/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 43% (16/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (45/79) | 71% (69/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Jullien C. ⚽, Savanier T. (A),
- 18', 2 - 0, Mendy A. ⚽,
- 23', Djedje D. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 44', Karamoko I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sebas J. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
- 55', Omeragic B. 🟨,
- 55', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
- 60', Aiki A. ↓, Boutrah A. ↑,
- 60', Bathily Y. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
- 64', Ngapandouetnbu S. 🟨,
- 66', 🟨,
- 68', Chennahi T. ↓, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↑,
- 72', Mbuku N. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
- 73', Guevara J. 🟨,
- 73', Zaouai A. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 80', Savanier T. ↓, Ndiaye J. ↑,
- 81', Orakpo V. ↓, Mahboub F. ↑,
- 81', El Hannach N. ↓, Mouanga Y. ↑,
- 87', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montpellier
50.9% | Draw
28% | Bastia
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montpellier's performance.Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Montpellier - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.34) |
3.54 ↑
(3.12) |
4.81 ↑
(3.04) |
1.1%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Bastia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Montpellier will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.
- In recent matches, Montpellier has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bastia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Bastia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Montpellier will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K.
(Leg Injury)
Gueguin A.
(Inactive)
Michel M.
(Broken rib)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
Tchato E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bastia: Basset D.
(Injury)
Janneh J.
(Inactive)
Parravicini N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Bastia?
Montpellier has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Montpellier?
Bastia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Bastia were as follows:
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Red Star | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Troyes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Pau FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Amiens | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Clermont | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Annecy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Reims | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Nancy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Rodez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Laval | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Guingamp | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dunkerque | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Bastia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
