Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 34
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 11 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (374/432) | 90% (502/557) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (374/432) | 90% (502/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 67% (28/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (56/86) | 73% (83/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Simon M. (Pen),
- 25', Tchato E. ↓, Ndollo Bille W. ↑,
- 31', 2 - 0, Coquelin F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Savanier T. ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
- 46', Mouanga Y. ↓, Sagnan M. ↑,
- 49', Chennahi T. 🟨,
- 53', Thomas S. 🟨,
- 57', Pallois N. 🟨,
- 71', Coquelin F. 🟨,
- 72', Pallois N. ↓, Zeze N. ↑,
- 72', Thomas S. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
- 73', Coquelin F. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, Abline M. ⚽, Simon M. (A),
- 87', Simon M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 88', Chirivella P. ↓, Assoumani D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nantes
62.3% | Draw
22.2% | Montpellier
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nantes - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.61) |
4.28 ↓
(4.37) |
6.21 ↑
(4.93) |
4.8%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nantes - Montpellier?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Nantes (votes: 3 - 75%).
Users Predictions:
Nantes will win
(82 of 89 users predict this - 92.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.54% – 97.72%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nantes will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3.
- Nantes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Montpellier has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Nantes is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Nantes: Doucoure S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mahamoud A.
(Knee Injury)
Mostafa Mohamed
(Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Delort A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Fayad K.
(Yellow Cards)
Gueguin A.
(Ribs Injury)
Issoufou Y.
(Injury)
Maamma O.
(International duty)
Maksimovic N.
(Thigh Injury)
Nzingoula R.
(Yellow Cards)
Pays N.
(Foot Injury)
Sagnan M.
(Thigh Injury)
Sainte-Luce T.
(Muscle Injury)
Sylla I.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Montpellier: Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Montpellier?
Nantes has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Nantes?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Montpellier were as follows:
31.08.2024
Montpellier
-
Nantes
1:3
26.04.2024
Montpellier
-
Nantes
1:1
22.10.2023
Nantes
-
Montpellier
2:0
20.05.2023
Nantes
-
Montpellier
0:3
15.01.2023
Montpellier
-
Nantes
0:0
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
