Nantes vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Nantes - Montpellier
Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.79
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
87% (374/432)90% (502/557)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.00
Total shots
189
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
914
Passes
87% (374/432)90% (502/557)
Long passes
57% (31/54)67% (28/42)
Passes in final third
65% (56/86)73% (83/113)
Crosses
39% (7/18)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.04
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
149
Tackles
68% (13/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5239
Clearances
2018
Interceptions
143
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.002.05
Goals prevented
0.00-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Simon M. (Pen),
  • 25', Tchato E. ↓, Ndollo Bille W. ↑,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Coquelin F. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Savanier T. ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
  • 46', Mouanga Y. ↓, Sagnan M. ↑,
  • 49', Chennahi T. 🟨,
  • 53', Thomas S. 🟨,
  • 57', Pallois N. 🟨,
  • 71', Coquelin F. 🟨,
  • 72', Pallois N. ↓, Zeze N. ↑,
  • 72', Thomas S. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
  • 73', Coquelin F. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Abline M. ⚽, Simon M. (A),
  • 87', Simon M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
  • 88', Chirivella P. ↓, Assoumani D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Nantes
62.3%		Draw
22.2%		Montpellier
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 21.8% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 18.2% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Nantes - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.53 ↓
    (1.61)    		 4.28 ↓
    (4.37)    		 6.21 ↑
    (4.93)    		 4.8%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Nantes - Montpellier?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Nantes (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Nantes will win (82 of 89 users predict this - 92.13%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.54% – 97.72%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nantes will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3.
    • Nantes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Montpellier has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Nantes is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Doucoure S. (Shoulder Injury) Mahamoud A. (Knee Injury) Mostafa Mohamed (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Delort A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Fayad K. (Yellow Cards) Gueguin A. (Ribs Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Maamma O. (International duty) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Nzingoula R. (Yellow Cards) Pays N. (Foot Injury) Sagnan M. (Thigh Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Muscle Injury) Sylla I. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montpellier: Jullien C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Montpellier were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Montpellier - Nantes 1:3
    26.04.2024 Montpellier - Nantes 1:1
    22.10.2023 Nantes - Montpellier 2:0
    20.05.2023 Nantes - Montpellier 0:3
    15.01.2023 Montpellier - Nantes 0:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    10.05.2025 Auxerre - Nantes 1:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Nantes - Angers 0:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0 ✺
    22.04.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Montpellier
    10.05.2025 Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4 ✺
    04.05.2025 Brest - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Montpellier - Reims 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Montpellier 5:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Angers - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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