Result
5:4 penalties
28/12/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Action, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 6 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Movistar Deportes |
 Slovakia | Dajto, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, M+ Deportes |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 18.18% (4/22) | 11.11% (4/36) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.89% (32/36) | 81.82% (18/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 100% (2/2) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 37.29 | 62.71 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 03:50, Crozier M. (2 min),
- 12:15, Paul N. (2 min),
- 16:46, Sabourin S. (5 min),
- 16:46, Xhekaj A. (5 min),
- 18:07, D'Astous C. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (3 - 0)
- 02:28, 1 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Goncalves G. (A),
- 03:54, Texier A. (2 min),
- 12:11, 2 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Point B. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
- 12:19, Kucherov N. (2 min),
- 14:49, 3 - 0, Paul N. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Groshev M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 4)
- 01:06, 3 - 1, Demidov I. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Dobson N. (A2)
- 01:40, 4 - 1, Holmberg P. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
- 09:16, 4 - 2, Slafkovsky J. (G), Kapanen O. (A),
- 12:17, 4 - 3, Dobson N. (G), Caufield C. (A), Matheson M. (A2)
- 19:56, 4 - 4, Slafkovsky J. (G), Demidov I. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (2 - 0)
- 1, Goncalves G. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Demidov I. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Point B. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Caufield C. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning
45.5% | Draw
22.3% | Montreal Canadiens
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.97) |
4.26 ↓
(4.66) |
2.94 ↓
(3.25) |
5.3%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- Tampa Bay could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E.
(Injury)
Hagel B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Montreal: Dach K.
(Broken Leg)
Evans J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Guhle K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
Newhook A.
(Ankle Injury)
Texier A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 80:52. (average 4:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 3.7:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Montreal Canadiens?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montreal Canadiens won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Montreal Canadiens has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens were as follows:
09.12.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
1:6
09.02.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:5
21.01.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:2
29.12.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Montreal Canadiens
2:5
04.04.2024
Montreal Canadiens
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
4:7
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 44 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 179:99 | 73 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars | 45 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 157:129 | 61 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 46 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 146:125 | 61 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 43 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 137:134 | 52 |
| 5 | Edmonton Oilers | 45 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 152:152 | 51 |
| 6 | San Jose Sharks | 44 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 141:155 | 49 |
| 7 | Seattle Kraken | 43 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 119:126 | 48 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Kings | 44 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 119:125 | 48 |
| 9 | Utah Mammoth | 45 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 137:127 | 47 |
| 10 | Chicago Blackhawks | 45 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 129:142 | 45 |
| 11 | Anaheim Ducks | 45 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 150:168 | 45 |
| 12 | Nashville Predators | 44 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 122:146 | 44 |
| 13 | Calgary Flames | 45 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 116:135 | 42 |
| 14 | St. Louis Blues | 46 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 114:161 | 42 |
| 15 | Winnipeg Jets | 43 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 126:135 | 37 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 44 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 121:158 | 37 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 45 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 155:135 | 59 |
| 2 | Detroit Red Wings | 46 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 145:142 | 58 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 43 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 153:114 | 57 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 45 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 151:148 | 56 |
| 5 | New York Islanders | 45 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 134:125 | 55 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 43 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 140:134 | 52 |
| 7 | Philadelphia Flyers | 43 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 132:127 | 52 |
| 8 | Washington Capitals | 45 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 148:130 | 52 |
| 9 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 43 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 140:134 | 51 |
| 10 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 44 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 148:140 | 51 |
| 11 | Boston Bruins | 45 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 151:146 | 50 |
| 12 | Florida Panthers | 44 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 135:142 | 49 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 44 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 115:137 | 46 |
| 14 | New York Rangers | 46 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 120:135 | 46 |
| 15 | Ottawa Senators | 44 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 141:148 | 45 |
| 16 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 44 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 132:151 | 43 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
