Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4 penalties
28/12/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Action, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 6
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruMovistar Deportes
slovakiaSlovakiaDajto, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
spainSpainDAZN Espana, M+ Deportes
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2236
Shots off target
1223
Shooting PCT
18.18% (4/22)11.11% (4/36)
Blocked Shots
1223
Goalkeeper Saves
3218
Saves PCT
88.89% (32/36)81.82% (18/22)
Penalties
52
PIM
137
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)100% (2/2)
Hits
1726
Faceoffs Won
2237
Faceoffs %
37.2962.71
Giveaways
1813
Takeaways
38
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 03:50, Crozier M. (2 min),
  • 12:15, Paul N. (2 min),
  • 16:46, Sabourin S. (5 min),
  • 16:46, Xhekaj A. (5 min),
  • 18:07, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 02:28, 1 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Goncalves G. (A),
  • 03:54, Texier A. (2 min),
  • 12:11, 2 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Point B. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
  • 12:19, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 14:49, 3 - 0, Paul N. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Groshev M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 4)
  • 01:06, 3 - 1, Demidov I. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Dobson N. (A2)
  • 01:40, 4 - 1, Holmberg P. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
  • 09:16, 4 - 2, Slafkovsky J. (G), Kapanen O. (A),
  • 12:17, 4 - 3, Dobson N. (G), Caufield C. (A), Matheson M. (A2)
  • 19:56, 4 - 4, Slafkovsky J. (G), Demidov I. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 0)
  • 1, Goncalves G. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Demidov I. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Point B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Caufield C. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
45.5%
Draw
22.3%
Montreal Canadiens
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 20.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.2% 26.8%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(1.97)
4.26
(4.66)
2.94
(3.25)
5.3%
(3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • Tampa Bay could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Injury) Hagel B. (Upper-Body Injury) Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Dach K. (Broken Leg) Evans J. (Lower-Body Injury) Guhle K. (Lower-Body Injury) Laine P. (Abdominal strain) Newhook A. (Ankle Injury) Texier A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 80:52. (average 4:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 3.7:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:6
    09.02.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5
    21.01.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    29.12.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 2:5
    04.04.2024 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:7
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    Eastern Conference
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    1Tampa Bay Lightning54279414193:13976
    2Carolina Hurricanes562510615195:16376
    3Detroit Red Wings572310618173:17172
    4Buffalo Sabres56266618193:17170
    5Montreal Canadiens562011817194:18670
    6Pittsburgh Penguins552441215187:16768
    7Boston Bruins56248420191:17768
    8New York Islanders572110521166:16167
    9Columbus Blue Jackets55199720175:17763
    10Toronto Maple Leafs57198921188:19463
    11Washington Capitals58235723185:17563
    12Ottawa Senators56225722189:18361
    13Philadelphia Flyers551871020166:17860
    14Florida Panthers55235324168:18159
    15New Jersey Devils561810226145:17258
    16New York Rangers56148628151:17850

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )