Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Montreal Canadiens
37.4%

Draw
22.7%

Tampa Bay Lightning
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

22.8%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

23.1%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.58)	4.22 ↑ (4.15)	2.4 ↑ (2.33)	4.4% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
Montreal is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
Montreal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tampa Bay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 58:78. (average 2.9:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:43. (average 2.6:4.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Montreal Canadiens won against Tampa Bay Lightning?

Montreal Canadiens has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Montreal Canadiens?

Tampa Bay Lightning has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:

31.03.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 1:4

28.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 5:4

09.12.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:6

09.02.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5

21.01.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2

Latest results of Montreal Canadiens

07.04.2026 Montreal Canadiens - Florida Panthers 4:3 ✺

05.04.2026 Montreal Canadiens - New Jersey Devils 0:3 ✺

04.04.2026 New Jersey Devils - Montreal Canadiens 3:4 ✺

02.04.2026 New York Rangers - Montreal Canadiens 2:3 ✺

31.03.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning

07.04.2026 Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning 6:2 ✺

06.04.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:2 ✺

04.04.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins 3:1 ✺

02.04.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 6:3 ✺

31.03.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 1:4 ✺

NHL Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Colorado Avalanche ✔	77	45	6	10	16	290:197	112
2	Dallas Stars ✔	78	35	11	12	20	262:214	104
3	Minnesota Wild ✔	78	30	15	12	21	261:225	102
4	Utah Mammoth	77	31	10	6	30	254:223	88
5	Edmonton Oilers	78	30	9	10	29	270:263	88
6	Vegas Golden Knights	78	28	8	16	26	249:241	88
7	Anaheim Ducks	77	24	17	5	31	257:271	87
8	Los Angeles Kings	77	19	13	19	26	211:236	83
9	Nashville Predators	77	26	10	10	31	233:256	82
10	San Jose Sharks	76	25	12	7	32	234:269	81
11	Winnipeg Jets	77	27	7	12	31	221:234	80
12	St. Louis Blues	77	29	4	12	32	206:241	78
13	Seattle Kraken	77	25	7	11	34	214:248	75
14	Calgary Flames	77	25	7	9	36	202:247	73
15	Chicago Blackhawks	78	21	7	14	36	202:256	70
16	Vancouver Canucks	77	15	7	8	47	202:297	52

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Carolina Hurricanes ✔	78	36	14	6	22	281:233	106
2	Tampa Bay Lightning ✔	78	39	9	6	24	281:221	102
3	Buffalo Sabres ✔	78	39	8	8	23	270:233	102
4	Montreal Canadiens ✔	78	32	14	10	22	273:245	102
5	Pittsburgh Penguins	78	33	7	16	22	280:250	96
6	Boston Bruins	79	31	12	10	26	264:246	96
7	Ottawa Senators	78	35	6	10	27	264:240	92
8	Philadelphia Flyers	78	25	15	12	26	233:232	92
9	Columbus Blue Jackets	78	27	12	12	27	245:241	90
10	New York Islanders	78	28	14	5	31	226:229	89
11	Detroit Red Wings	78	29	11	9	29	228:238	89
12	Washington Capitals	78	33	6	9	30	248:240	87
13	New Jersey Devils	78	28	12	3	35	219:239	83
14	Toronto Maple Leafs	77	23	9	14	31	242:275	78
15	Florida Panthers	78	29	8	4	37	233:266	78
16	New York Rangers	78	24	9	9	36	229:238	75

Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )