Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:6
09/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2728
Shots off target
1513
Shooting PCT
3.7% (1/27)21.43% (6/28)
Blocked Shots
1618
Goalkeeper Saves
2226
Saves PCT
78.57% (22/28)96.3% (26/27)
Penalties
67
PIM
1517
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
14.29% (1/7)16.67% (1/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (5/6)85.71% (6/7)
Hits
2427
Faceoffs Won
3112
Faceoffs %
72.0927.91
Giveaways
1410
Takeaways
34
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 3)
  • 02:27, 0 - 1, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
  • 03:56, Gallagher B. (2 min),
  • 03:56, Holmberg P. (2 min),
  • 03:56, Crozier M. (2 min),
  • 06:03, 0 - 2, Holmberg P. (G),
  • 17:12, 0 - 3, Kucherov N. (G), Crozier M. (A),
  • 20:00, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:01, Dobes J. , Montembeault S. ,
  • 02:43, 0 - 4, D'Astous C. (G), Kucherov N. (A),
  • 04:44, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 12:33, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
  • 18:10, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 19:06, 1 - 4, Kapanen O. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 01:22, 1 - 5, Raddysh D. (G), Cirelli A. (A),
  • 05:54, Bolduc Z. (2 min),
  • 08:37, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
  • 08:41, 1 - 6, Raddysh D. (G), Point B. (A),
  • 15:16, Anderson J. (5 min),
  • 15:16, Sabourin S. (5 min),
  • 19:03, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
  • 19:03, Davidson J. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montreal Canadiens
39.6%
Draw
22%
Tampa Bay Lightning
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 20.8% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 20.1% 44.5%

Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.42
(2.92)
4.37
(4.67)
2.48
(2.11)
4.6%
(3.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 15.1%58.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 25%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Dach K. (Broken Leg) Guhle K. (Lower-Body Injury) Laine P. (Abdominal strain) Montembeault S. (Illness) Newhook A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Injury) Douglas C. (Injury) James D. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Vasilevski A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 51:78. (average 2.6:3.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:37. (average 2.8:4.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5
    21.01.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    29.12.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 2:5
    04.04.2024 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:7
    02.03.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 4:3
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    5Detroit Red Wings33144312104:10939
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    8Boston Bruins33136014109:10538
    9Pittsburgh Penguins311319899:9637
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