Result
16/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
32.6% | Draw
30.1% | Moreirense
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Rio Ave - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.76) |
3.11 ↓
(3.43) |
2.54 ↑
(2.47) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 2.
- Recent form of Rio Ave has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Moreirense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Moreirense?
Rio Ave has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Rio Ave?
Moreirense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Moreirense were as follows:
13.09.2025
Moreirense
-
Rio Ave
3:1
13.04.2025
Moreirense
-
Rio Ave
0:2
30.11.2024
Rio Ave
-
Moreirense
3:2
02.03.2024
Moreirense
-
Rio Ave
0:0
01.10.2023
Rio Ave
-
Moreirense
0:4
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 42:7 | 35 | 56 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 52 |
| 3 | Benfica | 21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 44:12 | 32 | 49 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Estoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Alverca | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 11 | Estrela | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 25:37 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Arouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:46 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Nacional | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:41 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | AFS | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15:54 | -39 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
