Result
3:1
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Cozzino E. ⚽, Quarta A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 1, Tahiri J. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 1, Giammaria R. ⚽, Michelotti R. (A),
- 89', 3 - 1, Michelotti R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
AC Libertas
45.9% | Draw
28% | Murata
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AC Libertas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AC Libertas's performance.Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AC Libertas - Murata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.24) |
3.22 ↓
(3.49) |
3.47 ↑
(2.73) |
10.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AC Libertas - Murata?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25, 1st Half - AC Libertas (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AC Libertas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 1.
- Recent performances by AC Libertas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Murata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, AC Libertas has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has AC Libertas won against Murata?
AC Libertas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Murata won against AC Libertas?
Murata has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AC Libertas - Murata were as follows:
05.10.2025
Murata
-
AC Libertas
1:1
08.02.2025
Murata
-
AC Libertas
1:0
06.10.2024
AC Libertas
-
Murata
1:0
23.01.2024
Murata
-
AC Libertas
1:0
23.09.2023
AC Libertas
-
Murata
1:4
Latest results of AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
