Result
0:2
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (256/366) | 64% (187/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (256/366) | 64% (187/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (32/68) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/104) | 61% (74/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
- 24', Tapiero S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Davila E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 57', Meza F. 🟨,
- 58', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 65', Tapia Paez G. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 65', Fernandez J. ↓, Bizama J. ↑,
- 65', Carrasco B. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 65', Caicedo E. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 65', Miranda B. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
- 68', Simisterra R. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 1, Orejuela C. ⚽,
- 77', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 77', Marabel J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 79', Mina G. ↓, Gracia A. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 2, Penilla C. ⚽, Orejuela C. (A),
- 90+5', Abrigo J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Palestino
52.2% | Draw
25.5% | Mushuc Runa
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Palestino - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.91) |
3.69 ↑
(3.5) |
4.23 ↑
(3.91) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palestino - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palestino: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Palestino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
- Mushuc Runa is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Recent performances by Palestino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mushuc Runa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Palestino has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Palestino is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Palestino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Mushuc Runa?
Palestino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Palestino?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
03.04.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Palestino
3:2
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
