Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 5
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (268/329) | 85% (473/556) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (268/329) | 85% (473/556) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (13/34) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (72/100) | 74% (111/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Diemers M. ⚽, Balk R. (A),
- 26', Kleinen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Visser D. 🟨,
- 58', Coomans W. 🟨,
- 62', Rolke T. ↓, van der Sande J. ↑,
- 62', Visser D. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
- 66', Sjostrand O. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
- 68', Kleinen M. ↓, Van Dessel S. ↑,
- 68', Klaasen R. ↓, Camil Mmaee ↑,
- 69', El Basri N. 🟨,
- 74', Braken S. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 82', El Basri N. ↓, Dicke F. ↑,
- 82', Kuipers M. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
- 84', Diemers M. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
- 84', Ferrah I. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
- 86', Asante D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
18.3% | Draw
21.7% | Cambuur
60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambuur's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambuur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MVV Maastricht - Cambuur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.07 ↑
(3.8) |
4.31 ↑
(3.5) |
1.58 ↓
(1.83) |
6.1%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Cambuur?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cambuur will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 0.
- Maastricht is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cambuur is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Maastricht has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cambuur is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Cambuur?
MVV Maastricht has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against MVV Maastricht?
Cambuur has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Cambuur were as follows:
09.05.2025
Cambuur
-
MVV Maastricht
1:0
09.08.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Cambuur
0:1
12.01.2024
Cambuur
-
MVV Maastricht
5:2
02.11.2023
Cambuur
-
MVV Maastricht
4:1
20.10.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Cambuur
1:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
