Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 5
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.16 | 0.77 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
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12 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (268/329) | 85% (473/556) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.16 | 0.77 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.34 | 1.07 |
Total shots |
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12 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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14 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 23 |
Passes |
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81% (268/329) | 85% (473/556) |
Long passes |
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38% (13/34) | 55% (32/58) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (72/100) | 74% (111/151) |
Crosses |
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25% (5/20) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.11 | 0.59 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 19 |
Fouls |
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23 | 5 |
Tackles |
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69% (11/16) | 87% (13/15) |
Duels won |
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35 | 59 |
Clearances |
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30 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.07 | 1.34 |
Goals prevented |
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0.07 | 1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Diemers M. ⚽, Balk R. (A),
- 26', Kleinen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Visser D. 🟨,
- 58', Coomans W. 🟨,
- 62', Rolke T. ↓, van der Sande J. ↑,
- 62', Visser D. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
- 66', Sjostrand O. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
- 68', Kleinen M. ↓, Van Dessel S. ↑,
- 68', Klaasen R. ↓, Camil Mmaee ↑,
- 69', El Basri N. 🟨,
- 74', Braken S. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 82', El Basri N. ↓, Dicke F. ↑,
- 82', Kuipers M. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
- 84', Diemers M. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
- 84', Ferrah I. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
- 86', Asante D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht 18.3% | Draw 21.7% | Cambuur 60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambuur's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambuur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MVV Maastricht - Cambuur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.07 ↑ (3.8) |
4.31 ↑ (3.5) |
1.58 ↓ (1.83) |
6.1% (9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Cambuur?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cambuur will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 0.
- Maastricht is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cambuur is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Maastricht has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cambuur is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Cambuur?
MVV Maastricht has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against MVV Maastricht?
Cambuur has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Cambuur were as follows:
09.05.2025
Cambuur
-
MVV Maastricht
1:0
09.08.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Cambuur
0:1
12.01.2024
Cambuur
-
MVV Maastricht
5:2
02.11.2023
Cambuur
-
MVV Maastricht
4:1
20.10.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Cambuur
1:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Den Bosch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
20 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )