Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
4:0
19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.36
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
88% (506/578)81% (289/357)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.36
xG on target (xGOT)
3.500.07
Total shots
229
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
154
Passes
88% (506/578)81% (289/357)
Long passes
49% (22/45)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
77% (104/135)68% (70/103)
Crosses
33% (7/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.050.69
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
415
Tackles
41% (7/17)56% (9/16)
Duels won
6332
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.073.50
Goals prevented
0.07-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Sjostrand O. ⚽, Ferrah I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 61', 2 - 0, Baouf I. ⚽,
  • 62', Verheijen T. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
  • 62', Amgar A. ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
  • 63', van der Sande J. ↓, Balk R. ↑,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Rolke T. ⚽, Balk R. (A),
  • 72', Silva Timas I. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
  • 76', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
  • 76', Rolke T. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
  • 78', 4 - 0, Henstra I. ⚽, Binder N. (A),
  • 83', Galvez T. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
  • 83', Souren N. ↓, van der Heide W. ↑,
  • 83', Braken S. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
  • 83', Tehubijuluw D. ↓, van Kempen M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambuur
75.9%		Draw
14.5%		MVV Maastricht
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 16.4% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7% 15.8% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
    •

    Cambuur - MVV Maastricht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.23 ↓
    (1.32)    		 6.39 ↑
    (5.69)    		 9.82 ↑
    (7.38)    		 7.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Cambuur - MVV Maastricht?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 71.4% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Maastricht (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 5.
    • Cambuur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Maastricht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Cambuur is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
    12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    09.05.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 1:0
    09.08.2024 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    12.01.2024 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 5:2
    02.11.2023 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:1
    Latest results of Cambuur
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Cambuur - Den Bosch 2:1 ✺
    28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 2:0 ✺
    15.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Cambuur 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 2:4 ✺
    30.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Roda 0:0 ✺
    25.11.2025 Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht 1:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

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