MVV Maastricht vs Cambuur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie MVV Maastricht - Cambuur
Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.77
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
81% (268/329)85% (473/556)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.07
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1427
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
523
Passes
81% (268/329)85% (473/556)
Long passes
38% (13/34)55% (32/58)
Passes in final third
72% (72/100)74% (111/151)
Crosses
25% (5/20)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.59
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
235
Tackles
69% (11/16)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3559
Clearances
3017
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.071.34
Goals prevented
0.071.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Diemers M. , Balk R. (A),
  • 26', Kleinen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Visser D. 🟨,
  • 58', Coomans W. 🟨,
  • 62', Rolke T. , van der Sande J. ,
  • 62', Visser D. , Souren N. ,
  • 66', Sjostrand O. , van der Veen Y. ,
  • 68', Kleinen M. , Van Dessel S. ,
  • 68', Klaasen R. , Camil Mmaee ,
  • 69', El Basri N. 🟨,
  • 74', Braken S. , Foubert L. ,
  • 82', El Basri N. , Dicke F. ,
  • 82', Kuipers M. , Asante D. ,
  • 84', Diemers M. , Jermoumi D. ,
  • 84', Ferrah I. , Berkhout J. ,
  • 86', Asante D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


MVV Maastricht
18.3%
Draw
21.7%
Cambuur
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 26.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 25.3% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.
  • Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambuur's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambuur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • MVV Maastricht - Cambuur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.07
    (3.8)
    4.31
    (3.5)
    1.58
    (1.83)
    6.1%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Cambuur?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cambuur will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 0.
    • Maastricht is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cambuur is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Maastricht has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cambuur is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Cambuur were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 1:0
    09.08.2024 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    12.01.2024 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 5:2
    02.11.2023 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:1
    20.10.2023 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 1:1
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Latest results of Cambuur
    06.09.2025 Cambuur - Willem II 2:2
    31.08.2025 Cambuur - VVV-Venlo 3:1
    25.08.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur 0:1
    15.08.2025 Cambuur - FC Oss 1:0
    08.08.2025 Dordrecht - Cambuur 1:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag12111035:82734
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Willem II1262415:19-420
    7Den Bosch1362524:27-320
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1242613:19-614
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )