Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.36
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
88% (506/578)81% (289/357)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.36
xG on target (xGOT)
3.500.07
Total shots
229
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
154
Passes
88% (506/578)81% (289/357)
Long passes
49% (22/45)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
77% (104/135)68% (70/103)
Crosses
33% (7/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.050.69
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
415
Tackles
41% (7/17)56% (9/16)
Duels won
6332
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.073.50
Goals prevented
0.07-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Sjostrand O. , Ferrah I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 61', 2 - 0, Baouf I. ,
  • 62', Verheijen T. , Foubert L. ,
  • 62', Amgar A. , El Basri N. ,
  • 63', van der Sande J. , Balk R. ,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Rolke T. , Balk R. (A),
  • 72', Silva Timas I. , Asante D. ,
  • 76', Ferrah I. , Henstra I. ,
  • 76', Rolke T. , Binder N. ,
  • 78', 4 - 0, Henstra I. , Binder N. (A),
  • 83', Galvez T. , Jermoumi D. ,
  • 83', Souren N. , van der Heide W. ,
  • 83', Braken S. , Kassimi A. ,
  • 83', Tehubijuluw D. , van Kempen M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambuur
75.9%
Draw
14.5%
MVV Maastricht
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 16.4% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7% 15.8% 12.2%

Cambuur - MVV Maastricht Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.23
(1.32)
6.39
(5.69)
9.82
(7.38)
7.1%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Cambuur - MVV Maastricht?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 71.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Maastricht (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 5.
    • Cambuur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Maastricht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Cambuur is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
    12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    09.05.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 1:0
    09.08.2024 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    12.01.2024 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 5:2
    02.11.2023 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:1
    Latest results of Cambuur
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1
    05.12.2025 Cambuur - Den Bosch 2:1
    28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0
    21.11.2025 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 2:0
    15.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Cambuur 3:3
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag21171357:233452
    2Cambuur22155248:232550
    3De Graafschap22114742:35737
    4Almere City22112947:351235
    5Roda2298538:32635
    6Jong PSV22104844:44034
    7Willem II2296729:30-133
    8Den Bosch221021041:41032
    9Waalwijk2286834:34030
    10Venlo221001229:33-430
    11Jong Utrecht2285938:40-229
    12FC Emmen22841039:43-428
    13Eindhoven FC22831129:43-1427
    14Dordrecht2267927:32-525
    15Helmond22741131:38-725
    16Maastricht22741127:41-1425
    17Oss2258930:37-723
    18Jong AZ23721436:46-1023
    19Jong Ajax23371331:45-1416
    20Vitesse2176833:35-215

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