Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/01/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Puts K. (Ned)

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
27.8%
Draw
25.4%
NAC Breda
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 24.7% 51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 24.3% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NAC Breda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Helmond Sport - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (3.84)
    3.66
    (3.76)
    2
    (1.82)
    7%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: NAC Breda will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Helmond Sport won 1.
    • Helmond Sport is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Breda is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Breda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Breda will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Breda: van Schuppen B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-18.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - NAC Breda were as follows:
    27.10.2023 NAC Breda - Helmond Sport 1:1
    13.01.2023 Helmond Sport - NAC Breda 2:2
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    19.01.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 2:2
    12.01.2024 Dordrecht - Helmond Sport 2:0
    23.12.2023 Helmond Sport - Roda 3:3
    15.12.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 4:1
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    13.01.2024 Emmen - NAC Breda 2:3
    22.12.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:2
    15.12.2023 ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda 3:1
    08.12.2023 NAC Breda - FC Oss 2:0
    04.12.2023 Jong PSV - NAC Breda 0:5
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 33252674:324277
    2Cambuur33227470:393173
    3Willem II32158950:381253
    4De Graafschap321571059:51852
    5Almere City331641368:531552
    6Jong PSV331551362:58450
    7Waalwijk331391156:50648
    8Roda331212951:48348
    9Den Bosch331371358:59-146
    10Dordrecht3311101244:46-243
    11Eindhoven FC321241646:57-1140
    12Jong Utrecht331091451:55-439
    13Venlo331151741:51-1038
    14FC Emmen321071550:60-1037
    15Vitesse331391151:49236
    16Maastricht33991539:66-2736
    17Jong AZ331041957:66-934
    18Helmond33971738:57-1934
    19Jong Ajax33881745:59-1432
    20Oss337111541:57-1632

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