Result
2:1
29/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (325/418) | 75% (268/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (325/418) | 75% (268/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 46% (30/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (49/85) | 54% (43/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -1.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Caballero D. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
- 46', Bailone I. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
- 46', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 55', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Gonzalez W. ⚽,
- 62', Ramos J. ↓, Ayala W. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
- 66', Caceres R. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Ayala W. ⚽, Aguilar A. (A),
- 73', Santacruz J. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 76', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
- 81', Valdez I. 🟨,
- 82', Franco F. 🟨,
- 85', Santander F. 🟨,
- 85', Diaz S. ↓, Dorrego H. ↑,
- 85', Monzon L. ↓, Caceres T. ↑,
- 85', Baez J. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 90', Meza L. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Meza L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
27% | Draw
32.2% | Nacional Asuncion
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(3.19) |
2.88 ↓
(3.06) |
2.32 ↑
(2.3) |
7.5%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.
- Sportivo Luqueño has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nacional is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nacional could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
17.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
4:0
10.03.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
21.10.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:2
12.08.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:0
03.05.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:1
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:9 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Sp. Luqueno | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Guarani | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | General Caballero JLM | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
