Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion
Result
2:1
29/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.380.70
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
78% (325/418)75% (268/356)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.380.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.03
Total shots
816
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
29
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
820
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
78% (325/418)75% (268/356)
Long passes
46% (29/63)46% (30/65)
Passes in final third
58% (49/85)54% (43/80)
Crosses
9% (1/11)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.220.60
Throw-ins
2026
Fouls
1611
Tackles
80% (12/15)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5058
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.030.19
Goals prevented
-0.93-1.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Caballero D. , Valdez I. ,
  • 46', Bailone I. , Benitez H. ,
  • 46', Jara F. , Meza L. ,
  • 55', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Gonzalez W. ,
  • 62', Ramos J. , Ayala W. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
  • 66', Caceres R. , Santander F. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Ayala W. , Aguilar A. (A),
  • 73', Santacruz J. , Colman C. ,
  • 76', Alfaro J. F. , Arrua C. ,
  • 81', Valdez I. 🟨,
  • 82', Franco F. 🟨,
  • 85', Santander F. 🟨,
  • 85', Diaz S. , Dorrego H. ,
  • 85', Monzon L. , Caceres T. ,
  • 85', Baez J. , Benitez F. ,
  • 90', Meza L. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Meza L. ,

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
27%
Draw
32.2%
Nacional Asuncion
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 30.4% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 29.3% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.19)
    2.88
    (3.06)
    2.32
    (2.3)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.
    • Sportivo Luqueño has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nacional is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nacional could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 4:0
    10.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion 2:1
    21.10.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion 2:2
    12.08.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 1:0
    03.05.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 0:1
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno651013:6716
    2Nacional Asuncion63218:4411
    3Sportivo Trinidense632110:7311
    4Guarani53118:3510
    5Sp. Luqueno63127:6110
    6Olimpia Asuncion622211:1018
    72 de Mayo62228:9-18
    8Libertad Asuncion52125:327
    9Recoleta52039:11-26
    10Ameliano51134:9-54
    11General Caballero JLM50141:9-81
    12Atl. Tembetary50054:11-70

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