Result
1:1
12/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (242/312) | 68% (166/243) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (242/312) | 68% (166/243) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (32/55) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (67/113) | 60% (40/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Colman C. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
- 20', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Pereira K. ⚽, Perez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
- 46', Arrua C. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
- 46', Cabrera M. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 58', Benitez F. 🟨,
- 60', Comas L. 🟨,
- 72', Brizuela A. 🟨,
- 73', Ramos J. ↓, Ayala W. ↑,
- 73', Pereira K. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Prieto R. (Pen),
- 77', Comas L. ↓, Bobadilla F. ↑,
- 83', Benitez A. 🟨,
- 86', Valdez I. 🟨,
- 86', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Almeida M. ↑,
- 90+1', Ayala W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Perez M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Baez J. ↓, Maldonado S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
59.2% | Draw
24.8% | Sportivo Luqueño
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.73) |
3.79 ↑
(3.62) |
5.75 ↑
(4.74) |
7.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 50%). Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Nacional Asuncion will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sportivo Luqueño has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
29.07.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
17.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
4:0
10.03.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
21.10.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:2
12.08.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
