Result
27/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
47.1% | Draw
30.2% | Sportivo Luqueño
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Asuncion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Luqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.06) |
3.08 ↑
(2.97) |
4.1 ↑
(4.01) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
27.01.2026
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:2
12.10.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:1
29.07.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
17.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
4:0
10.03.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Guarani | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
