Result
1:2
27/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (326/395) | 81% (324/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (326/395) | 81% (324/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (48/81) | 63% (51/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Riveros P. ⚽, Comas L. (A),
- 44', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
- 44', Maiz A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Arrua C. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Benitez G. ⚽, Canete Torres A. D. (A),
- 54', Maiz A. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 54', Comas L. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
- 61', Benitez G. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
- 61', Santa C. R. ↓, Benitez H. A. ↑,
- 70', Valdez I. ↓, Cabrera M. ↑,
- 83', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 86', Diaz S. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
- 86', Maggi I. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Benitez H. A. ⚽, Gaona Lugo O. (A),
- 90+1', Meza L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
29.2% | Draw
33.4% | Nacional Asuncion
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↓
(3.45) |
2.8 ↓
(3.36) |
2.48 ↑
(2.03) |
7.7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
12.10.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:1
29.07.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
17.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
4:0
10.03.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
21.10.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:2
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Recoleta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Sp. Luqueno | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Guarani | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:22 | -18 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
