Result
3:2
27/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (316/390) | 76% (224/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.33 | 2.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (316/390) | 76% (224/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (96/143) | 51% (32/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.96 | 3.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', Valdez I. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Maggi I. ⚽, Ruiz O. (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Quintana S. ⚽,
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Santacruz J. ⚽, Gonzales L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Diaz F. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 46', Torales S. ↓, Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↑,
- 46', Maldonado S. ↓, Martinez Cubilla A. M. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Valdez I. ⚽, Gutierrez T. (A),
- 58', Colman Escobar D. J. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
- 60', Comas L. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
- 64', Ojeda M. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 2, Gonzales L. ⚽, Arrua C. (A),
- 72', Ruiz O. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 72', Quintana S. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 73', Santacruz J. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
- 81', Rojas S. 🟨,
- 83', Gutierrez T. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
45.7% | Draw
30.8% | Sportivo Luqueño
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Asuncion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.06) |
3.03 ↑
(2.97) |
3.95 ↓
(4.01) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
Users Predictions:
Nacional Asuncion will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
27.01.2026
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:2
12.10.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:1
29.07.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
17.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
4:0
10.03.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10:21 | -11 | 15 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12:26 | -14 | 14 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
