Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Lopez N. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
- 34', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
- 41', Vazquez L. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 42', Brasil M. ↓, Gianoli M. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 0, Ebere C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gonzalez C. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 54', Ebere C. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Rossi F. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 63', Romero D. 🟨,
- 65', Correa L. 🟨,
- 72', Assis S. 🟨,
- 73', Correa L. ↓, Gabriel Rossetto ↑,
- 75', Romero D. ↓, Patino J. ↑,
- 76', Dos Santos A. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 77', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
- 81', Gabriel Rossetto 🟥,
- 83', Parada F. 🟨,
- 84', Lodeiro N. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 85', Gomez M. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
- 86', Patino J. 🟨,
- 88', Anasco M. 🟨,
- 89', Pereyra M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
68.6% | Draw
19.5% | Cerro Largo
11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Largo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Montevideo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.53) |
4.72 ↑
(4.33) |
7.81 ↑
(5.5) |
7.2%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.
- Nacional is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cerro Largo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Cerro Largo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Cerro Largo has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
06.04.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:4
13.10.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:1
23.06.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:4
06.04.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
1:0
26.08.2023
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:2
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Liverpool M | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Progreso | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | River Plate | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
