Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo
Result
0:4
06/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
spainSpainGol Play
uruguayUruguayVTV+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Total shots
119
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
71
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Boggio L. ,
  • 9', Gianoli M. 🟨,
  • 22', Ancheta E. 🟨,
  • 26', Herazo D. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Otero R. ,
  • 43', Bonifazi F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Di Pippa A. , Perez A. ,
  • 46', Hernandez B. , Anasco M. ,
  • 46', Bonifazi F. , Gonzalez C. ,
  • 53', Ancheta E. , Morales L. ,
  • 58', Herazo D. 🟨,
  • 60', Brasil M. 🟨,
  • 61', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 3, Otero R. ,
  • 64', Otero R. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 64', Recoba J. , Oliva C. ,
  • 72', Millan J. 🟨,
  • 73', Gianoli M. , Rossi F. ,
  • 75', 0 - 4, Villalba Jaume L. M. ,
  • 77', Mejia L. , Suarez I. ,
  • 78', Millan J. , Coates S. ,
  • 85', Brasil M. , Parada F. ,

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
24.9%
Draw
28.1%
Nacional Montevideo
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.5% 24% 57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 23.3% 59.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerro Largo's performance.
  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerro Largo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.7
    (5)
    3.33
    (3.87)
    1.97
    (1.61)
    7.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 0.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Cerro Largo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Nacional is a favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:26 (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Largo won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:17 (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    13.10.2024 Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo 0:1
    23.06.2024 Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo 0:4
    06.04.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:0
    26.08.2023 Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    22.07.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:0
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boston River11004:043
    2Nacional11005:233
    3Cerro Largo11002:023
    4Penarol11002:113
    5CA Cerro10100:001
    6River Plate10100:001
    7Liverpool M00000:000
    8Danubio00000:000
    9Wanderers00000:000
    10Miramar00000:000
    11Racing Montevideo00000:000
    12Plaza Colonia00000:000
    13Progreso10011:2-10
    14Juventud10010:2-20
    15Montevideo City10012:5-30
    16Defensor Sp10010:4-40

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