Result
0:4
06/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 Spain | Gol Play |
 Uruguay | VTV+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Boggio L. ⚽,
- 9', Gianoli M. 🟨,
- 22', Ancheta E. 🟨,
- 26', Herazo D. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 2, Otero R. ⚽,
- 43', Bonifazi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Di Pippa A. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez B. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 46', Bonifazi F. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 53', Ancheta E. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
- 58', Herazo D. 🟨,
- 60', Brasil M. 🟨,
- 61', Perez A. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 3, Otero R. ⚽,
- 64', Otero R. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 64', Recoba J. ↓, Oliva C. ↑,
- 72', Millan J. 🟨,
- 73', Gianoli M. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 4, Villalba Jaume L. M. ⚽,
- 77', Mejia L. ↓, Suarez I. ↑,
- 78', Millan J. ↓, Coates S. ↑,
- 85', Brasil M. ↓, Parada F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
24.9% | Draw
28.1% | Nacional Montevideo
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerro Largo's performance.Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerro Largo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↓
(5) |
3.33 ↓
(3.87) |
1.97 ↑
(1.61) |
7.9%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 0.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Cerro Largo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Nacional is a favorite.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:26 (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Largo won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:17 (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Cerro Largo has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Cerro Largo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
13.10.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:1
23.06.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:4
06.04.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
1:0
26.08.2023
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:2
22.07.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
1:0
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Boston River | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Liverpool M | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Juventud | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | CA Cerro | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Danubio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Miramar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | River Plate | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
