Result
3:0
24/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Veron T. ⚽,
- 40', Candido C. ↓, Bais F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Piegas A. 🟨,
- 61', Viera G. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
- 61', Anasco M. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 65', Hernandez B. 🟨,
- 67', Carneiro G. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
- 67', Veron T. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 0, De Los Santos J. ⚽,
- 76', Franca S. ↓, Pou J. ↑,
- 76', Garcia M. ↓, Daguerre D. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 0, Barcia B. ⚽,
- 80', Lodeiro N. 🟨,
- 82', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
- 85', Gomez M. ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
- 85', Lodeiro N. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
- 88', Pou J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
63.6% | Draw
22.8% | Cerro Largo
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.38) |
4.11 ↓
(4.3) |
6.87 ↓
(7.5) |
7.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Nacional is the clear favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:14. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Cerro Largo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Cerro Largo has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
17.01.2026
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
2:1
04.10.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
2:1
06.04.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:4
13.10.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:1
23.06.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:4
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
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