Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro Largo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
01
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Lopez N. , Ebere C. ,
  • 34', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
  • 41', Vazquez L. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 42', Brasil M. , Gianoli M. ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Ebere C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gonzalez C. , Anasco M. ,
  • 54', Ebere C. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Rossi F. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Gomez M. ,
  • 63', Romero D. 🟨,
  • 65', Correa L. 🟨,
  • 72', Assis S. 🟨,
  • 73', Correa L. , Gabriel Rossetto ,
  • 75', Romero D. , Patino J. ,
  • 76', Dos Santos A. , Palacios H. ,
  • 77', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
  • 81', Gabriel Rossetto 🟥,
  • 83', Parada F. 🟨,
  • 84', Lodeiro N. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 85', Gomez M. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 86', Patino J. 🟨,
  • 88', Anasco M. 🟨,
  • 89', Pereyra M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
68.6%
Draw
19.5%
Cerro Largo
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 21.7% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 21.1% 16.6%

Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.37
(1.53)
4.72
(4.33)
7.81
(5.5)
7.2%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.
    • Nacional is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro Largo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 1.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo 0:4
    13.10.2024 Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo 0:1
    23.06.2024 Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo 0:4
    06.04.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:0
    26.08.2023 Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Liverpool M.Penarol1 : 2
    2ByeNacional

    Final
    1PenarolNacional0 : 1, 2 : 2