Result
24/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
63.6% | Draw
22.4% | Cerro Largo
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.38) |
4.17 ↓
(4.3) |
6.59 ↓
(7.5) |
8.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:14. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Cerro Largo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Cerro Largo has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
17.01.2026
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
2:1
04.10.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
2:1
06.04.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:4
13.10.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:1
23.06.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:4
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Central Esp | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Albion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Progreso | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Juventud | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
