Result
1:2 penalties
22/01/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de la Liga AUF - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Sanchez D. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Veron T. ⚽,
- 36', Colombino A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fernandez F. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 46', Silva G. ↓, Pinheiro A. ↑,
- 50', Mehring A. 🟨,
- 51', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 52', Ebere C. 🟨,
- 52', Trasante G. 🟨,
- 55', Veron T. 🟨,
- 58', Rodriguez N. 🟨,
- 60', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 65', Rodriguez N. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 66', Andueza F. 🟨,
- 70', Silva J. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
- 72', Barcia B. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
- 80', Cougo A. ↓, Kidd F. ↑,
- 80', De Leon F. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 82', Sanchez D. ↓, Copelotti M. ↑,
- 83', Martinez R. ↓, Montaos L. ↑,
- 83', Patino J. ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
- 83', Veron T. ↓, Dalmas J. ↑,
- 90+2', Colombino A. ↓, Lemmo I. ↑,
- Penalties (1 - 3)
- 1, Lemmo I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Calione P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Copelotti M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Dos Santos A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Fernandez N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Gonzalez L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Lopez N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Vera A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
30.7% | Draw
28.9% | Progreso
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Nacional Montevideo - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2) |
3.15 ↓
(3.37) |
2.26 ↓
(3.29) |
9.8%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Progreso?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Progreso will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Progreso (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Progreso (1.59) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Progreso (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Progreso will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Progreso (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.
- Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:9. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Progreso?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Nacional Montevideo?
Progreso has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
16.08.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Progreso
3:1
23.05.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Progreso
1:0
16.02.2025
Progreso
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:5
29.09.2024
Progreso
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:3
23.03.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Progreso
0:0
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Progreso
Draw
20261/8-finals| 1 | Nacional | Maldonado | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | Cerro Largo | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp. | Progreso | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Juventud | Wanderers | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Penarol | Central Esp. | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | CA Cerro | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Boston River | Danubio | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Liverpool M. | Albion | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Nacional | Cerro Largo | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Progreso | Juventud | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Penarol | Racing Montevideo | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Boston River | Albion | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nacional | Progreso | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Penarol | Boston River | 2 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Progreso | Boston River | 2 : 1 |
