Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Progreso
Result
1:0
23/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
63
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
113
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
63
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
40
Corner Kicks
113
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Morales L. 🟨,
  • 27', Eduardo Vargas 🟨,
  • 40', Moreira A. 🟨,
  • 41', Romero D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Eduardo Vargas , Otero R. ,
  • 62', Rivero J. , Fernandez E. ,
  • 63', Morales L. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 63', Boggio L. , Arady B. ,
  • 69', Pinheiro A. , Silva G. ,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Trasante G. (Own goal),
  • 75', Romero D. , Baez Corradi G. ,
  • 80', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Recoba J. ,
  • 80', Silvera F. , Sosa F. ,
  • 80', Fernandez N. , Lopez P. ,
  • 81', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 82', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 90', Oliva C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
78.6%
Draw
14.2%
Progreso
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.8% 16% 9.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.23)
    6.69
    (5.75)
    12.79
    (10)
    6.9%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
    • Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Progreso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Nacional has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Progreso - Nacional Montevideo 1:5
    29.09.2024 Progreso - Nacional Montevideo 0:3
    23.03.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Progreso 0:0
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    Latest results of Progreso
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1