Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Progreso
16/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
72.2%
Draw
17.3%
Progreso
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.8% 15.4% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.25)
    5.36
    (6)
    8.99
    (8.5)
    7.5%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Progreso?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • No spectators.
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
    • Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Progreso has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Progreso 1:0
    16.02.2025 Progreso - Nacional Montevideo 1:5
    29.09.2024 Progreso - Nacional Montevideo 0:3
    23.03.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Progreso 0:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boston River32107:257
    2Penarol32016:336
    3Cerro Largo22004:136
    4Racing Montevideo22003:126
    5Danubio21102:114
    6Liverpool M21101:014
    7Miramar21013:213
    8Defensor Sp21011:4-33
    9CA Cerro20111:2-11
    10Wanderers20110:1-11
    11River Plate20110:1-11
    12Plaza Colonia20111:3-21
    13Montevideo City20113:6-31
    14Nacional21015:500
    15Progreso20022:4-20
    16Juventud20021:4-30

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