Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 8', Oliva C. 🟨,
- 17', Kidd F. 🟨,
- 27', Prieto A. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Oliva C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', De Los Santos M. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 46', Prieto A. ↓, Carroso H. ↑,
- 54', Lemmo I. 🟨,
- 56', 3 - 1, De Los Santos J. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
- 62', Trasante G. 🟨,
- 63', Cougo A. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
- 63', Lemmo I. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
- 74', De Los Santos J. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
- 74', Carroso H. 🟨,
- 78', Boggio L. 🟨,
- 79', Mereles E. 🟨,
- 79', Oliva C. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 80', Lopez N. ↓, Lodeiro N. ↑,
- 80', Lopez F. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 85', Boggio L. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 85', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Dos Santos A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
74.8% | Draw
15.8% | Progreso
9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Nacional Montevideo - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↑
(1.25) |
6.05 ↑
(6) |
10.33 ↑
(8.5) |
5.8%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Progreso?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- No spectators.
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
- Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Progreso has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Progreso?
Nacional Montevideo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Nacional Montevideo?
Progreso has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
23.05.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Progreso
1:0
16.02.2025
Progreso
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:5
29.09.2024
Progreso
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:3
23.03.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Progreso
0:0
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Boston River | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nacional | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | Liverpool M | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Danubio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Miramar | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Progreso | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | CA Cerro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | River Plate | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 1 |
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