Nacional vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Nacional - Penafiel
Result
3:2
24/02/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV3

Chances of winning


Nacional
54.4%
Draw
25.6%
Penafiel
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 26.1% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 25.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Nacional - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.79)
    3.63
    (3.6)
    4.58
    (4.34)
    8%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nacional - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: Nacional will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Nacional is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Nacional won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Penafiel were as follows:
    02.10.2023 Penafiel - Nacional 1:4
    22.07.2023 Nacional - Penafiel 1:0
    16.04.2023 Penafiel - Nacional 3:0
    29.10.2022 Nacional - Penafiel 1:1
    Latest results of Nacional
    18.02.2024 Feirense - Nacional 2:1
    10.02.2024 Nacional - Vilaverdense 3:2
    28.01.2024 Nacional - Torreense 2:1
    21.01.2024 Marítimo - Nacional 3:1
    15.01.2024 Mafra - Nacional 0:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    18.02.2024 Penafiel - Santa Clara 1:2
    03.02.2024 Penafiel - Oliveirense 1:1
    29.01.2024 Penafiel - Feirense 2:1
    21.01.2024 Leixões - Penafiel 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

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