Result
3:2
24/02/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 23
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Chances of winning
Nacional
54.4% | Draw
25.6% | Penafiel
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Nacional - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.79) |
3.63 ↑
(3.6) |
4.58 ↑
(4.34) |
8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
Nacional will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Nacional is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Nacional won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Penafiel?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Nacional?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Penafiel were as follows:
02.10.2023
Penafiel
-
Nacional
1:4
22.07.2023
Nacional
-
Penafiel
1:0
16.04.2023
Penafiel
-
Nacional
3:0
29.10.2022
Nacional
-
Penafiel
1:1
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
