Penafiel vs Académico de Viseu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
11/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
15
Yellow cards
62
Total shots
119
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
55
Corner kicks
15
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1523
Throw ins
2026
Fouls
2111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Sery J. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Kahraman C. ,
  • 19', Alloh T. 🟨,
  • 22', 2 - 1, Davo ,
  • 32', 3 - 1, Davo ,
  • 45', Pedro Sa 🟨,
  • 45', Sery J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Negrao G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ceitil A. , Mortimer N. ,
  • 46', Sery J. , Alcaina R. ,
  • 46', Negrao G. , Pereira B. ,
  • 46', Joao Guilherme , Gohi L. ,
  • 60', 3 - 2, Andre Clovis ,
  • 64', 3 - 3, Mortimer N. ,
  • 67', Alloh T. , Ze Leite ,
  • 67', Mere J. , Moreira C. ,
  • 79', Reko 🟨,
  • 82', Kahraman C. , Silva T. ,
  • 85', 4 - 3, Gril D. (Own goal),
  • 85', Gohi L. 🟨,
  • 88', Davo 🟨,
  • 89', Zamora A. , Silva B. ,
  • 90', Kaua Vinicius , Steczyk D. ,
  • 90+1', Davo , Kebe I. ,
  • 90+2', Silva L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Penafiel
27.7%
Draw
29.8%
Académico de Viseu
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 28.5% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 27.9% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Penafiel - Académico de Viseu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (3.52)
    3.12
    (3.25)
    2.19
    (2.05)
    7.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Penafiel - Académico de Viseu?
  • Users Predictions: Académico de Viseu will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Viseu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Académico de Viseu were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Académico de Viseu - Penafiel 2:0
    15.03.2025 Académico de Viseu - Penafiel 1:0
    26.10.2024 Penafiel - Académico de Viseu 0:2
    10.02.2024 Académico de Viseu - Penafiel 1:0
    02.09.2023 Penafiel - Académico de Viseu 0:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    21.03.2026 Penafiel - Vizela 0:1
    15.03.2026 Feirense - Penafiel 1:0
    07.03.2026 Penafiel - Farense 1:1
    01.03.2026 Penafiel - Benfica B 1:1
    Latest results of Académico de Viseu
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo31196646:232363
    2Academico Viseu31166956:332354
    3Torreense311551137:30750
    4Leiria311310850:401049
    5Vizela311381038:36247
    6Leixoes311351340:50-1044
    7Lusitania FC311191142:48-642
    8FC Porto B311261337:42-542
    9Feirense311191132:35-342
    10Chaves311261336:34242
    11Benfica B3110111042:40241
    12Sporting CP B311321641:32941
    13Felgueiras3110101128:35-740
    14Penafiel311081333:34-138
    15SC Farense31991327:35-836
    16Pacos Ferreira318111230:44-1435
    17Portimonense31961634:46-1233
    18Oliveirense31791531:43-1230

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