Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Toyota City).

J1 League - Round 27
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	1.02
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
1	3
Passes
74% (223/300)	87% (464/535)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.41	1.56
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
1	6
Shots inside the Box
6	12
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
16	25
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
10	6
Passes
74% (223/300)	87% (464/535)
Long passes
33% (19/58)	33% (12/36)
Passes in final third
61% (57/93)	79% (139/175)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	1.30
Throw-ins
26	22
Fouls
6	12
Tackles
57% (4/7)	41% (7/17)
Duels won
36	43
Clearances
25	17
Interceptions
3	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.56	2.41
Goals prevented
-2.44	-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽, Erison (A),
12', Maruyama Y. ↓, Kamihashi R. ↑,
17', 0 - 2, Erison ⚽, Yamamoto Y. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Mori S. ⚽, Inagaki S. (A),
45+3', 2 - 2, Hara T. ⚽, Mori S. (A),
45+4', Erison 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fujii H. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
51', Junker K. 🟥,
65', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
66', Morishima T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
77', Ozeki Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
78', Kimura Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Erison ⚽, Kamihashi R. (A),
81', 3 - 3, Izumi R. ⚽, Nagai K. (A),
86', Izumi R. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
87', Mikuni K. 🟨,
88', Nogami Y. 🟨,
89', Kawahara S. 🟨,
90+3', Tachibanada K. ↓, Mochiyama K. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 4, Ito T. ⚽,
90+6', Ito T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Nagoya Grampus
34%

Draw
27.3%

Kawasaki Frontale
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

28.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)	3.5 ↑ (3.33)	2.43 ↓ (2.47)	4.6% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
Nagoya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kawasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Kawasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Mateus (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Marcinho (Yellow Cards) Oshima R. (Calf Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Nagoya Grampus has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Nagoya Grampus?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:

15.02.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Nagoya Grampus 4:0

22.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0

02.06.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Nagoya Grampus 2:1

01.07.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0

15.04.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Nagoya Grampus 1:2

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

16.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 3:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Roasso Kumamoto 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

16.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 2:5 ✺

20.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Sagamihara 0:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

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      Relegation ~ J2 League