Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Machida GION Stadium (Machida).

J1 League - Round 37
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.95	1.94
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
71% (209/296)	79% (398/501)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95	1.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.64	1.61
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
1	8
Shots inside the Box
9	12
Shots outside the Box
1	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
28	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
4	17
Passes
71% (209/296)	79% (398/501)
Long passes
35% (21/60)	44% (28/64)
Passes in final third
59% (71/120)	65% (88/136)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.08	0.76
Throw-ins
19	20
Fouls
17	4
Tackles
38% (5/13)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
43	51
Clearances
29	14
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.61	1.64
Goals prevented
0.61	-1.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Nogami Y. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Duke M. ⚽, Dresevic I. (A),
45+4', Nakamura H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Izumi R. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Nakamura H. ⚽, Duke M. (A),
51', Duke M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Inagaki S. (Pen),
62', Duke M. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
62', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
71', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Shoji G. ⚽, Sento K. (A),
79', Junker K. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
85', Hayashi K. ↓, Okamura D. ↑,
85', Shimoda H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
88', Nogami Y. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
90+1', Soma Y. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
90+4', Dresevic I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Machida Zelvia
54.9%

Draw
25.5%

Nagoya Grampus
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.3%

19.7%

Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.69 ↓ (3.7)	4.83 ↑ (4.77)	5.7% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Machida Zelvia (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
Machida Zelvia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
In this match, Machida Zelvia is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Kodama T. (Finger Injury) Nakayama K. (Elbow Injury) Schmidt D. (Muscle Injury) Uchida T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nishimura T. (Injury) Oh Se-Hun (Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Nagoya Grampus?

Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Machida Zelvia?

Nagoya Grampus has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

02.03.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia 1:2

06.07.2024 Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus 1:0

02.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia 0:1

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

25.11.2025 Gangwon - Machida Zelvia 1:3 ✺

22.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe 3:1 ✺

15.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 2:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 0:1 ✺

04.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

08.11.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 1:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus 2:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers 0:4 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League