Result
3:1
30/11/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 37
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (209/296) | 79% (398/501) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (209/296) | 79% (398/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (21/60) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (71/120) | 65% (88/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', Nogami Y. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Duke M. ⚽, Dresevic I. (A),
- 45+4', Nakamura H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Izumi R. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Nakamura H. ⚽, Duke M. (A),
- 51', Duke M. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 1, Inagaki S. (Pen),
- 62', Duke M. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 62', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 71', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Shoji G. ⚽, Sento K. (A),
- 79', Junker K. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
- 85', Hayashi K. ↓, Okamura D. ↑,
- 85', Shimoda H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 88', Nogami Y. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
- 90+1', Soma Y. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
- 90+4', Dresevic I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
54.9% | Draw
25.5% | Nagoya Grampus
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.7) |
3.69 ↓
(3.7) |
4.83 ↑
(4.77) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Machida Zelvia (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Machida Zelvia will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Machida Zelvia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
- Machida Zelvia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Kodama T.
(Finger Injury)
Nakayama K.
(Elbow Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
Uchida T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nishimura T.
(Injury)
Oh Se-Hun
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Nagoya Grampus?
Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Machida Zelvia?
Nagoya Grampus has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
02.03.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Machida Zelvia
1:2
06.07.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
02.03.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Machida Zelvia
0:1
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
