Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

J1 League - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.55
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	2
Passes
73% (295/402)	78% (397/509)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.18	0.78
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
4	5
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
14	9
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
73% (295/402)	78% (397/509)
Long passes
30% (18/60)	45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
59% (69/116)	59% (78/132)
Crosses
11% (1/9)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.28	0.39
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
17% (2/12)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
38	46
Clearances Total
21	16
Interceptions
14	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
0.78	1.18
Goals prevented
-0.22	-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Fukuda S. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
45+3', Kim Min-Tae 🟨,
45+4', Fujii T. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Inagaki S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kato G. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
46', Morishima T. ↓, Izumi R. ↑,
64', Inagaki S. 🟨,
64', Asano Y. 🟨,
74', Asano Y. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
74', Uchida T. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
76', Suzuki A. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
76', Onose K. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
83', Fujii T. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
83', Nakayama K. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
87', Okuno H. ↓, Ono K. ↑,
87', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
39.5%

Draw
30%

Nagoya Grampus
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

29.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)	3.12 ↓ (3.21)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	6.7% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 1.
Shonan Bellmare is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nagoya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury) Tokumoto S. (Muscle Injury) Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury) Yamanaka R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 0.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Nagoya Grampus?

Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Shonan Bellmare?

Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

24.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 0:1

16.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 1:1

11.11.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1

23.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 2:2

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

02.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺

20.03.2025 Zweigen Kanazawa - Shonan Bellmare 0:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC 2:1 ✺

20.03.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagoya Grampus 0:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League