Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
73% (295/402) | 78% (397/509) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.18 | 0.78 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 9 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
73% (295/402) | 78% (397/509) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (18/60) | 45% (28/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (69/116) | 59% (78/132) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (1/9) | 8% (1/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.28 | 0.39 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
17% (2/12) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 46 |
Clearances Total |
---|
21 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.78 | 1.18 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.22 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Fukuda S. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
- 45', 2 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
- 45+3', Kim Min-Tae 🟨,
- 45+4', Fujii T. 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Inagaki S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kato G. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
- 46', Morishima T. ↓, Izumi R. ↑,
- 64', Inagaki S. 🟨,
- 64', Asano Y. 🟨,
- 74', Asano Y. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
- 74', Uchida T. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 76', Suzuki A. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
- 76', Onose K. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
- 83', Fujii T. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
- 83', Nakayama K. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
- 87', Okuno H. ↓, Ono K. ↑,
- 87', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare 39.5% | Draw 30% | Nagoya Grampus 30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↑ (2.35) |
3.12 ↓ (3.21) |
3.06 ↑ (3.05) |
6.7% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 1.
- Shonan Bellmare is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Nagoya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ishibashi S.
(Ankle Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Calf Injury)
Tokumoto S.
(Muscle Injury)
Yamagishi Y.
(Knee Injury)
Yamanaka R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 0.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Nagoya Grampus?
Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Shonan Bellmare?
Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
24.08.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:1
16.06.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:1
11.11.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
23.04.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:2
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League