Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus
Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.55
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
73% (295/402)78% (397/509)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.180.78
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
149
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
73% (295/402)78% (397/509)
Long passes
30% (18/60)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
59% (69/116)59% (78/132)
Crosses
11% (1/9)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.39
Fouls
1514
Tackles
17% (2/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3846
Clearances Total
2116
Interceptions
1414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.781.18
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Fukuda S. , Suzuki A. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Suzuki Y. ,
  • 45+3', Kim Min-Tae 🟨,
  • 45+4', Fujii T. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 2 - 1, Inagaki S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kato G. , Shiihashi K. ,
  • 46', Morishima T. , Izumi R. ,
  • 64', Inagaki S. 🟨,
  • 64', Asano Y. 🟨,
  • 74', Asano Y. , Junker K. ,
  • 74', Uchida T. , Nagai K. ,
  • 76', Suzuki A. , Oda Y. ,
  • 76', Onose K. , Ikeda M. ,
  • 83', Fujii T. , Oiwa K. ,
  • 83', Nakayama K. , Ono M. ,
  • 87', Okuno H. , Ono K. ,
  • 87', Okuno K. , Barada A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
39.5%
Draw
30%
Nagoya Grampus
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.7% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.35)
    3.12
    (3.21)
    3.06
    (3.05)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 1.
    • Shonan Bellmare is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nagoya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury) Tokumoto S. (Muscle Injury) Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury) Yamanaka R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 0.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 0:1
    16.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 1:1
    11.11.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    23.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 2:2
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

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