Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus
Result
3:0
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.81
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
76% (246/323)77% (319/414)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.81
xG on target (xGOT)
2.711.50
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
514
Passes
76% (246/323)77% (319/414)
Long passes
40% (27/67)48% (35/73)
Passes in final third
71% (85/120)66% (86/131)
Crosses
31% (5/16)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.53
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
145
Tackles
45% (5/11)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3845
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.502.71
Goals prevented
1.50-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', Quinones J. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Tanimura K. , Quinones J. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Yan , Inoue K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mori S. , Kawazura A. ,
  • 62', Kato R. , Miyaichi R. ,
  • 63', Quinones J. , Matsubara K. ,
  • 63', Inoue K. , Amano J. ,
  • 64', Jean Claude 🟨,
  • 66', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 66', Izumi R. , Junker K. ,
  • 73', Nogami Y. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 76', Elber , Matsumura K. ,
  • 79', Tanimura K. , Uenaka A. ,
  • 80', Shiihashi K. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 86', Junker K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Uenaka A. , Yan (A),
  • 90+6', Suzuki T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
33.9%
Draw
28.4%
Nagoya Grampus
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.6% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 29% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.86)
    3.36
    (3.31)
    2.48
    (2.46)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yokohama F. Marinos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 1.
    • Yokohama FM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kida T. (Yellow Cards) Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Suwama K. (Ankle Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Amano J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0
    08.12.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 0:2
    13.10.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2
    09.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 1:3
    30.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

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          Relegation ~ J2 League