Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus
Result
3:0
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.81
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
76% (246/323)77% (319/414)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.81
xG on target (xGOT)
2.711.50
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
514
Passes
76% (246/323)77% (319/414)
Long passes
40% (27/67)48% (35/73)
Passes in final third
71% (85/120)66% (86/131)
Crosses
31% (5/16)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.53
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
145
Tackles
45% (5/11)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3845
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.502.71
Goals prevented
1.50-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', Quinones J. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Tanimura K. , Quinones J. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Yan , Inoue K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mori S. , Kawazura A. ,
  • 62', Kato R. , Miyaichi R. ,
  • 63', Quinones J. , Matsubara K. ,
  • 63', Inoue K. , Amano J. ,
  • 64', Jean Claude 🟨,
  • 66', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 66', Izumi R. , Junker K. ,
  • 73', Nogami Y. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 76', Elber , Matsumura K. ,
  • 79', Tanimura K. , Uenaka A. ,
  • 80', Shiihashi K. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 86', Junker K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Uenaka A. , Yan (A),
  • 90+6', Suzuki T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
33.9%
Draw
28.4%
Nagoya Grampus
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.6% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 29% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.86)
    3.36
    (3.31)
    2.48
    (2.46)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yokohama F. Marinos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 1.
    • Yokohama FM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kida T. (Yellow Cards) Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Suwama K. (Ankle Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Amano J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0
    08.12.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 0:2
    13.10.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2
    09.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 1:3
    30.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

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