Result
3:0
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/323) | 77% (319/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/323) | 77% (319/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 48% (35/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (85/120) | 66% (86/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.50 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Tanimura K. ⚽, Quinones J. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Yan ⚽, Inoue K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mori S. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
- 62', Kato R. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
- 63', Quinones J. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
- 63', Inoue K. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 64', Jean Claude 🟨,
- 66', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 66', Izumi R. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
- 73', Nogami Y. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
- 76', Elber ↓, Matsumura K. ↑,
- 79', Tanimura K. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
- 80', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 86', Junker K. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, Uenaka A. ⚽, Yan (A),
- 90+6', Suzuki T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos
33.9% | Draw
28.4% | Nagoya Grampus
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↓
(2.86) |
3.36 ↑
(3.31) |
2.48 ↑
(2.46) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yokohama F. Marinos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 1.
- Yokohama FM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kida T.
(Yellow Cards)
Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Suwama K.
(Ankle Injury)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Amano J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Nagoya Grampus?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
02.04.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:0
08.12.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:2
13.10.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:2
09.10.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:3
30.03.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:1
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 53:33 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 56 |
| 7 | Machida | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:52 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 52:50 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | Verdy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 42 |
| 13 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 30:37 | -7 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:44 | -8 | 34 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 23:39 | -16 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
