Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Nissan Stadium (Yokohama).

J1 League - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	0.81
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
16	16
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	6
Passes
76% (246/323)	77% (319/414)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
2.71	1.50
Total shots
16	16
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
3	11
Blocked Shots
8	1
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
6	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
20	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
5	14
Passes
76% (246/323)	77% (319/414)
Long passes
40% (27/67)	48% (35/73)
Passes in final third
71% (85/120)	66% (86/131)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.53
Throw-ins
12	21
Fouls
14	5
Tackles
45% (5/11)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
38	45
Clearances
25	17
Interceptions
3	6
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.50	2.71
Goals prevented
1.50	-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Quinones J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Tanimura K. ⚽, Quinones J. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Yan ⚽, Inoue K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mori S. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
62', Kato R. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
63', Quinones J. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
63', Inoue K. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
64', Jean Claude 🟨,
66', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
66', Izumi R. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
73', Nogami Y. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
76', Elber ↓, Matsumura K. ↑,
79', Tanimura K. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
80', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
86', Junker K. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Uenaka A. ⚽, Yan (A),
90+6', Suzuki T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Yokohama F. Marinos
33.9%

Draw
28.4%

Nagoya Grampus
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

29%

37.9%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.86)	3.36 ↑ (3.31)	2.48 ↑ (2.46)	5.9% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 29.2% – 76.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yokohama F. Marinos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 1.
Yokohama FM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kida T. (Yellow Cards) Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Suwama K. (Ankle Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Amano J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Nagoya Grampus?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0

08.12.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 0:2

13.10.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2

09.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 1:3

30.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

05.07.2025 Yokohama FC - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

21.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - ReinMeer Aomori 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

16.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Roasso Kumamoto 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Vissel Kobe - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Veroskronos Tsuno 3:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League