Result
3:0
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.57 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
76% (246/323) | 77% (319/414) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.57 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.71 | 1.50 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 11 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
76% (246/323) | 77% (319/414) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (27/67) | 48% (35/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (85/120) | 66% (86/131) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 39% (7/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.05 | 0.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
45% (5/11) | 63% (5/8) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.50 | 2.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.50 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Tanimura K. ⚽, Quinones J. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Yan ⚽, Inoue K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mori S. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
- 62', Kato R. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
- 63', Quinones J. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
- 63', Inoue K. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 64', Jean Claude 🟨,
- 66', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 66', Izumi R. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
- 73', Nogami Y. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
- 76', Elber ↓, Matsumura K. ↑,
- 79', Tanimura K. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
- 80', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 86', Junker K. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, Uenaka A. ⚽, Yan (A),
- 90+6', Suzuki T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos 33.9% | Draw 28.4% | Nagoya Grampus 37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.78 ↓ (2.86) |
3.36 ↑ (3.31) |
2.48 ↑ (2.46) |
5.9% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yokohama F. Marinos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 1.
- Yokohama FM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kida T.
(Yellow Cards)
Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Suwama K.
(Ankle Injury)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Amano J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Nagoya Grampus?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
02.04.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:0
08.12.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:2
13.10.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:2
09.10.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:3
30.03.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:1
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League