Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Thalay Luang Stadium (Sukhothai).

Thai League 1 - Round 15
Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.34	0.86
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
21	12
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
89% (482/539)	79% (290/366)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
3.34	0.86
xG on target (xGOT)
2.31	0.46
Total shots
21	12
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
11	3
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
9	7
Shots outside the Box
12	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
19	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	6
Passes
89% (482/539)	79% (290/366)
Long passes
47% (22/47)	50% (30/60)
Passes in final third
78% (116/148)	58% (57/99)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.24	1.13
Throw-ins
22	13
Fouls
6	10
Tackles
100% (7/7)	81% (13/16)
Duels won
34	31
Clearances
18	14
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.46	2.31
Goals prevented
-0.54	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', Chatthong S. ↓, Gildo ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Lemdee B. ⚽, Wendel (A),
73', 1 - 1, Gildo ⚽,
77', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Denman A. ↑,
83', Lemdee B. ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
87', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Sanmahung J. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Baggio J. ⚽,
90', Otton C. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
90', Logarwit S. ↓, Kanlayanabandit S. ↑,
90+1', Martinez Viti ↓, Athisaraworameth T. ↑,
90+1', Mateusinho ↓, Elias ↑,
90+2', Kanlayanabandit S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sukhothai
54.3%

Draw
24.4%

Nakhon Ratchasima
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

25.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

23.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sukhothai's performance.

Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nakhon Ratchasima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sukhothai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nakhon Ratchasima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.06)	3.74 ↑ (3.58)	4.28 ↑ (3.1)	9.8% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Sukhothai (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sukhothai (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 1.
Sukhothai has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nakhon Ratchasima has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Nakhon Ratchasima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sukhothai is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Nakhon Ratchasima?

Sukhothai has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Sukhothai?

Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima were as follows:

21.02.2025 Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai 2:2

05.10.2024 Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima 1:0

10.03.2023 Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:3

14.10.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai 1:1

Latest results of Sukhothai

05.12.2025 Ratchaburi - Sukhothai 1:0 ✺

30.11.2025 Sukhothai - Bangkok United 0:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Sukhothai - Chonburi 2:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Sukhothai - Kanchanaburi 1:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Rayong FC - Sukhothai 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima

07.12.2025 Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United 0:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Uthai Thani - Nakhon Ratchasima 7:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United 0:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Chiangrai United - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Buriram United - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:1 ✺

Thai League 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buriram	21	17	2	2	57:20	37	53
2	Ratchaburi	21	13	3	5	35:19	16	42
3	Port MTI FC	22	12	4	6	42:19	23	40
4	Bangkok Utd	21	11	7	3	33:21	12	40
5	Pathum United	22	11	6	5	33:22	11	39
6	Prachuap	22	7	10	5	29:28	1	31
7	Ayutthaya Utd	22	7	8	7	29:31	-2	29
8	Rayong FC	21	7	7	7	32:29	3	28
9	Chiangrai Utd	22	6	10	6	28:31	-3	28
10	Uthai Thani	22	6	7	9	34:37	-3	25
11	Chonburi	22	6	7	9	25:28	-3	25
12	Lamphun Warrior	22	3	12	7	29:39	-10	21
13	Sukhothai	22	4	9	9	16:32	-16	21
14	Kanchanaburi	23	2	10	11	22:44	-22	16
15	Muang Thong Utd	22	3	6	13	19:42	-23	15
16	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	21	3	4	14	14:35	-21	13

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2