Brest vs Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.18
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
82% (317/387)84% (329/391)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.18
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.00
Total shots
176
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
2922
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
82% (317/387)84% (329/391)
Long passes
61% (43/71)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
61% (68/112)58% (46/79)
Crosses
29% (8/28)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.17
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
1112
Tackles
65% (17/26)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
1641
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.002.58
Goals prevented
0.002.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Awaziem C. 🟨,
  • 17', Mboup P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Castro L. 🟨,
  • 63', Lahdo M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
  • 67', Ajorque L. 🟨,
  • 78', Mboup P. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
  • 78', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
  • 85', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
  • 85', Tabibou D. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
  • 87', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Cozza N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Brest
49.3%		Draw
26.3%		Nantes
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 26% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.2% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    Brest - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.95 ↑
    (1.88)    		 3.65 ↓
    (3.67)    		 3.93 ↓
    (4.09)    		 4.1%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Brest - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). Nantes will win (votes: 2 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 60.7% – 88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Brest (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Nantes (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Brest (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brest will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Brest is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Thigh Injury) Bourgault J. (International duty) Labeau Lascary R. (Elbow Injury) Tousart L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Injury) Lepenant J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Del Castillo R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brest won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Nantes were as follows:
    07.02.2025 Nantes - Brest 0:2
    15.01.2025 Brest - Nantes 2:1
    15.12.2024 Brest - Nantes 4:1
    04.05.2024 Brest - Nantes 0:0
    17.12.2023 Nantes - Brest 0:2
    Latest results of Brest
    28.09.2025 Angers - Brest 0:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Brest - Paris FC 1:2 ✺
    29.08.2025 Lens - Brest 3:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nantes
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Nantes 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Nantes - Rennes 2:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0 ✺
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG23173352:193354
    2Lens23171544:202452
    3Lyon23143637:231445
    4Marseille23124748:311740
    5Lille23114836:31537
    6Rennes23107637:35237
    7Strasbourg23104939:30934
    8Monaco23104938:36234
    9Lorient2388732:36-432
    10Toulouse2387833:27631
    11Brest2386931:34-330
    12Angers23851022:28-629
    13Le Havre2368920:29-926
    14Nice23661130:43-1324
    15Paris FC23581027:40-1323
    16Auxerre23451417:33-1617
    17Nantes23451422:40-1817
    18Metz23341622:52-3013

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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