Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 7
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.66 | 0.18 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
82% (317/387) | 84% (329/391) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.66 | 0.18 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.58 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
82% (317/387) | 84% (329/391) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (43/71) | 49% (21/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (68/112) | 58% (46/79) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (8/28) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.57 | 0.17 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (17/26) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 41 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 2.58 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 2.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Awaziem C. 🟨,
- 17', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Castro L. 🟨,
- 63', Lahdo M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 67', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 78', Mboup P. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
- 78', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 85', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
- 85', Tabibou D. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
- 87', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Cozza N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brest 49.3% | Draw 26.3% | Nantes 24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Brest - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.88) |
3.65 ↓ (3.67) |
3.93 ↓ (4.09) |
4.1% (4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brest - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). Nantes will win (votes: 2 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 60.7% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Brest is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Thigh Injury)
Bourgault J.
(International duty)
Labeau Lascary R.
(Elbow Injury)
Tousart L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F.
(Injury)
Lepenant J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Del Castillo R.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brest won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Nantes?
Brest has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Brest?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Nantes were as follows:
07.02.2025
Nantes
-
Brest
0:2
15.01.2025
Brest
-
Nantes
2:1
15.12.2024
Brest
-
Nantes
4:1
04.05.2024
Brest
-
Nantes
0:0
17.12.2023
Nantes
-
Brest
0:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
7 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2