Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 5
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (280/350) | 87% (430/493) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (280/350) | 87% (430/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (50/83) | 79% (101/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 0% (0/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', Tati T. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Blas L. (Pen),
- 35', 0 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽, Seidu A. (A),
- 38', Mostafa Mohamed 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rongier V. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
- 46', Seidu A. ↓, Brassier L. ↑,
- 63', Cisse D. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 2, Mwanga J. ⚽,
- 65', Embolo B. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
- 66', Tati T. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
- 67', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
- 69', Lahdo M. 🟨,
- 70', Blas L. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
- 77', Coquelin F. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
- 78', Lahdo M. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 81', Lepaul E. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
- 82', Cozza N. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Leroux L. ↓, Radakovic U. ↑,
- 90+1', Abline M. (Pen),
- 90+6', 2 - 2, El Arabi Y. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
Chances of winning
Nantes
25.5% | Draw
28% | Rennes
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantes's form might have worsened.Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rennes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rennes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nantes - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.82 ↑
(2.78) |
3.45 ↑
(3.37) |
2.06 ↓
(2.48) |
3.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nantes - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Rennes will win (votes: 17 - 63%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 44.8% – 81.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rennes will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
- Nantes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rennes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rennes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M.
(Injury)
Centonze F.
(Injury)
Guirassy B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A.
(Groin Injury)
Frankowski P.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Seidu A.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Rennes?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Nantes?
Rennes has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Rennes were as follows:
26.07.2025
Nantes
-
Rennes
1:3
18.04.2025
Rennes
-
Nantes
2:1
08.12.2024
Nantes
-
Rennes
1:0
20.04.2024
Nantes
-
Rennes
0:3
01.10.2023
Rennes
-
Nantes
3:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
