Nantes vs Rennes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Nantes - Rennes
Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.38
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
80% (280/350)87% (430/493)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.801.55
Total shots
168
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
80% (280/350)87% (430/493)
Long passes
47% (21/45)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
60% (50/83)79% (101/128)
Crosses
21% (4/19)0% (0/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.53
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
1417
Tackles
71% (10/14)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4336
Clearances
1422
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.551.80
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', Tati T. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Blas L. (Pen),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Lepaul E. , Seidu A. (A),
  • 38', Mostafa Mohamed 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Rongier V. , Cisse D. ,
  • 46', Seidu A. , Brassier L. ,
  • 63', Cisse D. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Mwanga J. ,
  • 65', Embolo B. , Tamari M. ,
  • 66', Tati T. , Coquelin F. ,
  • 67', Mostafa Mohamed , Benhattab Y. ,
  • 69', Lahdo M. 🟨,
  • 70', Blas L. , Hateboer H. ,
  • 77', Coquelin F. , Tabibou D. ,
  • 78', Lahdo M. , Camara A. ,
  • 81', Lepaul E. , Meite M. ,
  • 82', Cozza N. , El Arabi Y. ,
  • 90+1', Leroux L. , Radakovic U. ,
  • 90+1', Abline M. (Pen),
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, El Arabi Y. , Abline M. (A),

Chances of winning


Nantes
25.5%
Draw
28%
Rennes
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.8% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantes's form might have worsened.
  • Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rennes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rennes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nantes - Rennes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.82
    (2.78)
    3.45
    (3.37)
    2.06
    (2.48)
    3.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nantes - Rennes?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Rennes will win (votes: 17 - 63%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 44.8%81.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rennes will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
    • Nantes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rennes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rennes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M. (Injury) Centonze F. (Injury) Guirassy B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (Groin Injury) Frankowski P. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rennes: Seidu A. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Rennes were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Nantes - Rennes 1:3
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1
    08.12.2024 Nantes - Rennes 1:0
    20.04.2024 Nantes - Rennes 0:3
    01.10.2023 Rennes - Nantes 3:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    30.08.2025 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    Latest results of Rennes
    14.09.2025 Rennes - Lyon 3:1
    31.08.2025 Angers - Rennes 1:1
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0
    09.08.2025 Rennes - Genoa 2:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG650112:4815
    2Lyon65018:3515
    3Marseille640212:5712
    4Monaco640214:10412
    5Strasbourg64029:7212
    6Lille631213:9410
    7Lens63128:5310
    8Paris FC731312:13-110
    9Rennes62317:8-19
    10Brest621311:1107
    11Toulouse62139:11-27
    12Nice62137:10-37
    13Lorient72149:16-77
    14Auxerre62044:8-46
    15Le Havre61236:8-25
    16Nantes61235:7-25
    17Angers61233:6-35
    18Metz60245:13-82

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