Naples vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer  USL League One Cup Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
0:2
04/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Cup
Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.91
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
84% (394/469)79% (306/388)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.42
Total shots
146
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
2023
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
178
Passes
84% (394/469)79% (306/388)
Long passes
42% (24/57)59% (51/86)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)67% (93/139)
Crosses
40% (8/20)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.772.30
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
817
Tackles
79% (11/14)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5441
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
916
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.420.26
Goals prevented
-0.580.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
  • 35', Castellanos R. , Moon N. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Pacius W. , Alvarez L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 2, Arteaga M. , Bodily B. (A),
  • 61', Lasso F. 🟨,
  • 62', Alvarez L. , Bassett O. ,
  • 65', Cerro I. , Weiss J. ,
  • 74', Ferrin A. 🟨,
  • 75', Torrellas M. , Prpa L. ,
  • 76', Ferrin A. , O'Connor K. ,
  • 76', Cisneros J. 🟨,
  • 79', Bodily B. , Skinner J. ,
  • 79', Arteaga M. , Mustali E. ,
  • 79', Pacius W. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 86', Onen J. , Pasnik T. ,
  • 90+3', Wyke L. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Naples
31.5%
Draw
27.9%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 26.8% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 25.9% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naples's performance.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naples that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (3.57)
    3.28
    (3.43)
    2.26
    (1.94)
    9.2%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Naples is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tampa Bay's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Naples has had a series of away games.
    • Tampa Bay could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naples won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Naples won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    Latest results of Naples
    31.05.2025 Miami - Naples 3:2
    25.05.2025 Naples - Union Omaha 3:1
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Which TV channels are streaming of Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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