Result
0:2
04/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Cup
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/469) | 79% (306/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/469) | 79% (306/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 59% (51/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (95/125) | 67% (93/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
- 35', Castellanos R. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
- 38', 0 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Alvarez L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 0 - 2, Arteaga M. ⚽, Bodily B. (A),
- 61', Lasso F. 🟨,
- 62', Alvarez L. ↓, Bassett O. ↑,
- 65', Cerro I. ↓, Weiss J. ↑,
- 74', Ferrin A. 🟨,
- 75', Torrellas M. ↓, Prpa L. ↑,
- 76', Ferrin A. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
- 76', Cisneros J. 🟨,
- 79', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 79', Arteaga M. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
- 79', Pacius W. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 86', Onen J. ↓, Pasnik T. ↑,
- 90+3', Wyke L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Naples
31.5% | Draw
27.9% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naples's performance.Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naples that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3.57) |
3.28 ↓
(3.43) |
2.26 ↑
(1.94) |
9.2%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Naples is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tampa Bay's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Naples has had a series of away games.
- Tampa Bay could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naples won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Naples won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Naples has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Naples?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
16.04.2025
Naples
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1:2
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
