Atlanta United vs Nashville SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Nashville SC
Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX Network, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.99
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
79% (291/369)88% (553/627)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.000.97
Total shots
69
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
65
Passes
79% (291/369)88% (553/627)
Long passes
49% (27/55)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
60% (56/94)79% (120/151)
Crosses
38% (6/16)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.75
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
56
Tackles
50% (9/18)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3528
Clearances
3024
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.971.00
Goals prevented
-0.030.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Almiron M. , Lennon B. (A),
  • 43', Klich M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Muyl A. , Perez J. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Lovitz D. , Mukhtar H. (A),
  • 67', Klich M. , Slisz B. ,
  • 67', Lobjanidze S. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 78', Shaffelburg J. , Qasem A. ,
  • 78', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 82', Almiron M. 🟨,
  • 85', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 85', Almiron M. , Edwards M. ,
  • 89', Najar A. , Bauer J. ,
  • 90+4', Perez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
43.4%
Draw
26.6%
Nashville SC
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 25.4% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 25% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta United's form might have worsened.
  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nashville SC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nashville SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta United - Nashville SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.84)
    3.59
    (3.76)
    3.17
    (4.25)
    4.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Nashville SC?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Nashville will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
    • Atlanta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nashville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Muyumba T. (Groin Injury) Williams D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Zimmerman W. (Concussion)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Nashville SC were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Atlanta United - Nashville SC 0:2
    18.05.2024 Nashville SC - Atlanta United 1:1
    26.08.2023 Atlanta United - Nashville SC 4:0
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    MLS Table
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    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
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    6Orlando City25118646:331341
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    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
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    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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