Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | TSN 2 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX Network, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 0.99 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
79% (291/369) | 88% (553/627) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 0.99 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.00 | 0.97 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
79% (291/369) | 88% (553/627) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (27/55) | 46% (19/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (56/94) | 79% (120/151) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (6/16) | 19% (5/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.50 | 1.75 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (9/18) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 28 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.97 | 1.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.03 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Almiron M. ⚽, Lennon B. (A),
- 43', Klich M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Muyl A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Lovitz D. ⚽, Mukhtar H. (A),
- 67', Klich M. ↓, Slisz B. ↑,
- 67', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 78', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
- 78', Slisz B. 🟨,
- 82', Almiron M. 🟨,
- 85', Latte Lath E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 85', Almiron M. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
- 89', Najar A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
- 90+4', Perez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United 43.4% | Draw 26.6% | Nashville SC 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta United's form might have worsened.Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nashville SC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nashville SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlanta United - Nashville SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↑ (1.84) |
3.59 ↓ (3.76) |
3.17 ↓ (4.25) |
4.7% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Nashville SC?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Nashville will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
- Atlanta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nashville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
Muyumba T.
(Groin Injury)
Williams D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T.
(Knee Injury)
Gaines J.
(Thigh Injury)
Zimmerman W.
(Concussion)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Nashville SC?
Atlanta United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Atlanta United?
Nashville SC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Nashville SC were as follows:
14.09.2024
Atlanta United
-
Nashville SC
0:2
18.05.2024
Nashville SC
-
Atlanta United
1:1
26.08.2023
Atlanta United
-
Nashville SC
4:0
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Nashville SC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)