Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (357/428) | 84% (371/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (357/428) | 84% (371/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (89/125) | 68% (67/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 0% (0/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Perez J. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Jabbari A. ↓, Denkey K. ↑,
- 48', Bucha P. 🟨,
- 69', Bauer J. ↓, Najar A. ↑,
- 69', Tagseth E. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
- 69', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Brenner ⚽, Evander (A),
- 74', Brenner 🟨,
- 79', Marczuk D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 80', Miazga M. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 83', Anunga T. ↓, Gidi S. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Boyd T. (A), Brugman G. (A2)
- 90+2', Qasem A. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 90+3', Engel L. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Evander ⚽, Echenique E. (A),
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
36.9% | Draw
26.5% | Nashville SC
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Cincinnati - Nashville SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.63) |
3.54 ↑
(3.52) |
2.61 ↑
(2.51) |
5.2%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Nashville SC?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nashville will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Kubo Y.
(Leg Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Thigh Injury)
Robinson M.
(Calf Injury)
Smith B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Nashville: Gaines J.
(Thigh Injury)
Meyer W.
(Foot Injury)
Washington T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Nashville SC?
Cincinnati has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Cincinnati?
Nashville SC has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Nashville SC were as follows:
29.03.2025
Nashville SC
-
Cincinnati
1:2
21.09.2024
Nashville SC
-
Cincinnati
2:2
29.05.2024
Cincinnati
-
Nashville SC
0:2
04.08.2023
Cincinnati
-
Nashville SC
1:2
15.07.2023
Cincinnati
-
Nashville SC
3:1
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Nashville SC
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
