Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (357/428) | 84% (371/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (357/428) | 84% (371/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (89/125) | 68% (67/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 0% (0/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Perez J. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Jabbari A. ↓, Denkey K. ↑,
- 48', Bucha P. 🟨,
- 69', Bauer J. ↓, Najar A. ↑,
- 69', Tagseth E. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
- 69', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Brenner ⚽, Evander (A),
- 74', Brenner 🟨,
- 79', Marczuk D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 80', Miazga M. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 83', Anunga T. ↓, Gidi S. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Boyd T. (A), Brugman G. (A2)
- 90+2', Qasem A. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 90+3', Engel L. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Evander ⚽, Echenique E. (A),
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
36.9% | Draw
26.5% | Nashville SC
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Cincinnati - Nashville SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.63) |
3.54 ↑
(3.52) |
2.61 ↑
(2.51) |
5.2%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Nashville SC?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nashville will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Kubo Y.
(Leg Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Thigh Injury)
Robinson M.
(Calf Injury)
Smith B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Nashville: Gaines J.
(Thigh Injury)
Meyer W.
(Foot Injury)
Washington T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Nashville SC?
Cincinnati has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Cincinnati?
Nashville SC has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Nashville SC were as follows:
29.03.2025
Nashville SC
-
Cincinnati
1:2
21.09.2024
Nashville SC
-
Cincinnati
2:2
29.05.2024
Cincinnati
-
Nashville SC
0:2
04.08.2023
Cincinnati
-
Nashville SC
1:2
15.07.2023
Cincinnati
-
Nashville SC
3:1
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Nashville SC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC ✔ | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 60:41 | 19 | 60 |
| 2 | Minnesota United ✔ | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59:34 | 25 | 57 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC ✔ | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 53 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 44 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 41:43 | -2 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:52 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 36:46 | -10 | 40 |
| 10 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 42:54 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 57:58 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 43:56 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 46:70 | -24 | 27 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 24 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 57:33 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 49:40 | 9 | 62 |
| 3 | Inter Miami ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 72:53 | 19 | 59 |
| 4 | Charlotte ✔ | 33 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 53:46 | 7 | 56 |
| 5 | New York City ✔ | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 54 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 66:58 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 52:50 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 42:49 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:57 | -23 | 28 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 27 |
| 15 | DC United | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29:65 | -36 | 25 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
