Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (593/642) | 86% (272/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (593/642) | 86% (272/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (29/42) | 42% (14/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (207/242) | 67% (40/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 3.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mukhtar H. ⚽, Muyl A. (A),
- 9', Sviatchenko E. 🟥,
- 13', Najar A. 🟨,
- 15', Lingr O. ↓, Awodesu F. ↑,
- 38', Yazbek P. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Junior Urso ⚽, Ennali L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Lovitz D. (A), Tagseth E. (A2)
- 50', 3 - 1, Najar A. ⚽,
- 57', Najar A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
- 57', Yazbek P. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
- 69', Junior Urso ↓, Bassi A. ↑,
- 69', Ponce E. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
- 77', Surridge S. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 77', Mukhtar H. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
- 84', Bartlow E. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
- 84', Artur ↓, Kowalczyk S. ↑,
- 87', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Zimmerman W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nashville SC
65.9% | Draw
22% | Houston Dynamo
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.53) |
5.24 ↑
(4.35) |
10.21 ↑
(5.58) |
-9.8%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nashville (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Houston (3.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Houston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nashville is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nashville: Gaines J.
(Thigh Injury)
Meyer W.
(Foot Injury)
Perez J.
(Thigh Injury)
Washington T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Houston: Antonio Carlos
(Lower-Body Injury)
Bartlow E.
(Injury)
Escobar F.
(Illness)
Ortiz P.
(Yellow Cards)
Quinones N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Tarbell A.
(Knee Injury)
Wiesner T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nashville: Qasem A.
(Ankle Injury)
Zimmerman W.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Houston Dynamo?
Nashville SC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against Nashville SC?
Houston Dynamo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
02.10.2022
Nashville SC
-
Houston Dynamo
1:2
Latest results of Nashville SC
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
