Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.64
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
92% (593/642)86% (272/316)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.64
xG on target (xGOT)
3.611.89
Total shots
189
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
918
Passes
92% (593/642)86% (272/316)
Long passes
69% (29/42)42% (14/33)
Passes in final third
86% (207/242)67% (40/60)
Crosses
32% (7/22)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.020.29
Throw-ins
1318
Fouls
189
Tackles
71% (12/17)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3131
Clearances
2527
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.893.61
Goals prevented
0.890.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Mukhtar H. , Muyl A. (A),
  • 9', Sviatchenko E. 🟥,
  • 13', Najar A. 🟨,
  • 15', Lingr O. , Awodesu F. ,
  • 38', Yazbek P. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Junior Urso , Ennali L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Surridge S. , Lovitz D. (A), Tagseth E. (A2)
  • 50', 3 - 1, Najar A. ,
  • 57', Najar A. , Bauer J. ,
  • 57', Yazbek P. , Acosta B. ,
  • 69', Junior Urso , Bassi A. ,
  • 69', Ponce E. , Holmes D. ,
  • 77', Surridge S. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 77', Mukhtar H. , Boyd T. ,
  • 84', Bartlow E. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 84', Artur , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 87', Shaffelburg J. , Zimmerman W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
65.9%
Draw
22%
Houston Dynamo
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 21.6% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 21.3% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.53)
    5.24
    (4.35)
    10.21
    (5.58)
    -9.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Nashville (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Houston (3.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Houston (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nashville is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nashville: Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Meyer W. (Foot Injury) Perez J. (Thigh Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Antonio Carlos (Lower-Body Injury) Bartlow E. (Injury) Escobar F. (Illness) Ortiz P. (Yellow Cards) Quinones N. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury) Wiesner T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nashville: Qasem A. (Ankle Injury) Zimmerman W. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    02.10.2022 Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo 1:2
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)