Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.64
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
92% (593/642)86% (272/316)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.64
xG on target (xGOT)
3.611.89
Total shots
189
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
918
Passes
92% (593/642)86% (272/316)
Long passes
69% (29/42)42% (14/33)
Passes in final third
86% (207/242)67% (40/60)
Crosses
32% (7/22)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.020.29
Throw-ins
1318
Fouls
189
Tackles
71% (12/17)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3131
Clearances
2527
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.893.61
Goals prevented
0.890.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Mukhtar H. , Muyl A. (A),
  • 9', Sviatchenko E. 🟥,
  • 13', Najar A. 🟨,
  • 15', Lingr O. , Awodesu F. ,
  • 38', Yazbek P. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Junior Urso , Ennali L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Surridge S. , Lovitz D. (A), Tagseth E. (A2)
  • 50', 3 - 1, Najar A. ,
  • 57', Najar A. , Bauer J. ,
  • 57', Yazbek P. , Acosta B. ,
  • 69', Junior Urso , Bassi A. ,
  • 69', Ponce E. , Holmes D. ,
  • 77', Surridge S. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 77', Mukhtar H. , Boyd T. ,
  • 84', Bartlow E. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 84', Artur , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 87', Shaffelburg J. , Zimmerman W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
65.9%
Draw
22%
Houston Dynamo
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 21.6% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 21.3% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.53)
    5.24
    (4.35)
    10.21
    (5.58)
    -9.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Nashville (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Houston (3.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Nashville SC will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Houston (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nashville is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nashville: Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Meyer W. (Foot Injury) Perez J. (Thigh Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Antonio Carlos (Lower-Body Injury) Bartlow E. (Injury) Escobar F. (Illness) Ortiz P. (Yellow Cards) Quinones N. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury) Wiesner T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nashville: Qasem A. (Ankle Injury) Zimmerman W. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    02.10.2022 Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo 1:2
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)