Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
China | QQ Sports |
Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (593/642) | 86% (272/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (593/642) | 86% (272/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (29/42) | 42% (14/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (207/242) | 67% (40/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 3.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mukhtar H. ⚽, Muyl A. (A),
- 9', Sviatchenko E. 🟥,
- 13', Najar A. 🟨,
- 15', Lingr O. ↓, Awodesu F. ↑,
- 38', Yazbek P. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Junior Urso ⚽, Ennali L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Lovitz D. (A), Tagseth E. (A2)
- 50', 3 - 1, Najar A. ⚽,
- 57', Najar A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
- 57', Yazbek P. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
- 69', Junior Urso ↓, Bassi A. ↑,
- 69', Ponce E. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
- 77', Surridge S. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 77', Mukhtar H. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
- 84', Bartlow E. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
- 84', Artur ↓, Kowalczyk S. ↑,
- 87', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Zimmerman W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nashville SC 65.9% | Draw 22% | Houston Dynamo 12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↑ (1.53) |
5.24 ↑ (4.35) |
10.21 ↑ (5.58) |
-9.8% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nashville (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Houston (3.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Nashville SC will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Houston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nashville is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nashville: Gaines J.
(Thigh Injury)
Meyer W.
(Foot Injury)
Perez J.
(Thigh Injury)
Washington T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Houston: Antonio Carlos
(Lower-Body Injury)
Bartlow E.
(Injury)
Escobar F.
(Illness)
Ortiz P.
(Yellow Cards)
Quinones N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Tarbell A.
(Knee Injury)
Wiesner T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nashville: Qasem A.
(Ankle Injury)
Zimmerman W.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Houston Dynamo?
Nashville SC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against Nashville SC?
Houston Dynamo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
02.10.2022
Nashville SC
-
Houston Dynamo
1:2
Latest results of Nashville SC
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)