Result
2:0
25/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (395/499) | 73% (283/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 11 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (395/499) | 73% (283/390) |
| Long passes |
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| 40% (27/68) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (53/95) | 48% (39/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 75% (6/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
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| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 59 |
| Clearances |
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| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
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| 15 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.08 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Arfsten M. ⚽,
- 39', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
- 45', Bangoura S. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Arfsten M. ⚽,
- 45+7', Bueno J. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ndinga P. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
- 63', Picard H. ↓, Moreira S. ↑,
- 66', Sullivan C. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
- 66', Rafanello J. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
- 70', Rossi D. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 70', Habroune T. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
- 81', Bangoura S. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
- 81', Arfsten M. ↓, Farsi M. ↑,
- 84', Damiani B. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
- 90+4', Sery Larsen J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Columbus Crew 49.9% | Draw 25.9% | Philadelphia Union 24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Columbus Crew's form might have worsened.Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Columbus Crew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↑ (1.66) |
3.67 ↓ (3.82) |
3.95 ↓ (4.65) |
5% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
Columbus Crew will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 4.
- Columbus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Philadelphia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Columbus is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Injury)
Farsi M.
(Hernia)
Gomes A.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Anello A.
(Muscle Injury)
Davis III E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Philadelphia Union?
Columbus Crew has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Columbus Crew?
Philadelphia Union has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
29.06.2025
Columbus Crew
-
Philadelphia Union
1:0
10.05.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Columbus Crew
2:2
05.10.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Philadelphia Union
3:2
28.08.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Columbus Crew
0:1
21.08.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Philadelphia Union
3:1
Latest results of Columbus Crew
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)